Daily snapshot for EUR/USD on 2026-06-25: price level, daily change, moving averages, RSI(14), ATR, 52-week range position, positioning, and the central-bank decision horizon. Facts only — reporting, not advice.
=== EUR/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.13598 -0.173% · RSI(14) 24.89 (1st pct, since 2003) while price < all MAs
cross-signal: signals align EUR/USD down: RSI(14), 52wk position, 20d return, daily %
price & change (as of 2026-06-25, prior 2026-06-24)
close 1.13598
change -0.00197 (-0.173%, -19.7 pips)
gap -0.00184 (-18.4 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-06-25)
range 0.00259 (25.9 pips)
close pos 40.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-06-25)
20d MA 1.15441 price below by -1.60%
50d MA 1.16364 price below by -2.38%
200d MA 1.16671 price below by -2.63%
price < all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-06-25)
20d stdev 0.321% daily
ATR (as of 2026-06-25)
ATR(14) 0.00657 (65.7 pips)
ATR% 0.58%
range/ATR 39.4%
52-week range (as of 2026-06-25)
high 1.20236 (-5.52% from high)
low 1.13254 (+0.30% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-06-25)
RSI(14) 24.89
returns (as of 2026-06-25)
5d return -1.28%
20d return -2.22%
60d return -1.99%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.0543%
ZIRP-2009 0.6640%
tightening-2015 0.4886%
ZIRP-2019 0.3870%
tightening-2022 0.5496%
easing-2024 0.4349%
positioning (as of 2026-06-16) (predates 2026-06-17 FOMC)
net -8,926 contracts (net short EUR)
net % OI -1.0%
net%OI range -7.8% … +6.5% (own 129w)
w/w change +8,462
rate differential (US–EU policy)
US (FEDFUNDS) 3.63% (as of 2026-05-01) (predates 2026-06-17 FOMC)
next FOMC 2026-07-29 (34 days)
EU (ECBMRRFR) 2.40% (as of 2026-06-24)
differential withheld — US rate predates 2026-06-17 FOMC
10Y yield spread (US–EU)
US (DGS10) 4.50% (as of 2026-06-23)
EU (euro-area AAA 10Y) 2.94% (as of 2026-06-24)
spread +1.56%
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-06-24)
vs DXY -0.84
vs S&P 500 +0.34
vs DXY beta -0.81 (26w)