Bitcoin (BTC): RSI, volatility and 52-week range

On 2026-07-19, Bitcoin (BTC) closed at 64631.8 USD, down 0.25% on the day. It trades at 10.1% of its 52-week range. Its 20-day return of +7.47% is in the 67th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 54.46 is in the 58th percentile of its history since 2014. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 63134.18 / 63354.78 / 73044.34 USD, with price +2.37% / +2.02% / -11.52% against them. Its 52-week range is 57747.77–126198.07 USD; it closed 48.79% below the high and 11.92% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 1.756% daily, in the 18th percentile of its history since 2014. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1718.19 USD, 2.66% of price. It has returned -0.50% over 5 days and -16.56% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.72 / correlation +0.53 (52-week); beta +1.58 / correlation +0.50 (26-week). Against the US dollar index (DXY), its weekly-return beta -1.96 / correlation -0.26 (52-week); beta -1.52 / correlation -0.22 (26-week).

=== BITCOIN (BTC)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-19, prior 2026-07-18)
    close       64631.83
    change      -164.77  (-0.254%)
  range            (as of 2026-07-19)
    range       269.81
    close pos   12.8% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-19)
     20d MA     63134.18   price above by +2.37%
     50d MA     63354.78   price above by +2.02%
    200d MA     73044.34   price below by -11.52%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-19)
    20d stdev   1.756% daily ≈ 33.5% annualized (×√365, 24/7 market)   (18th pct of own history, since 2014 (4304 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.70× (1.756% vs 2.518% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-19)
    ATR(14)    1718.19
    ATR%        2.66%   (19th pct of own history, since 2014 (4310 obs))
    range/ATR   15.7%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-19)
    high        126198.07   (-48.79% from high)
    low         57747.77   (+11.92% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-19)
    RSI(14)     54.46   (57th pct of own history, since 2014 (4310 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-19)
     5d return  -0.50%
    20d return  +7.47%
    60d return  -16.56%
  volatility by rate-era
    ZIRP-2009        3.5674%   (from 2014-09-17)
    tightening-2015  4.0527%
    ZIRP-2019        3.8548%
    tightening-2022  2.8650%
    easing-2024      2.5180%
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-17)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.58  corr +0.50  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.72  corr +0.53  (52w)
  dollar factor (weekly returns vs DXY; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-19)
    vs DXY      beta -1.52  corr -0.22  (26w)
    vs DXY      beta -1.96  corr -0.26  (52w)