Bitcoin (BTC): 20-day volatility 1.208% daily (5th pct)

On 2026-08-12, Bitcoin (BTC) closed at 63754 USD, up 0.32% on the day. It trades at 8.8% of its 52-week range. Its 20-day return of -1.98% is in the 37th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 47.64 is in the 38th percentile of its history since 2014. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 64063.11 / 63344.59 / 69745.65 USD, with price -0.48% / +0.65% / -8.59% against them. Its 52-week range is 57747.77–126198.07 USD; it closed 49.48% below the high and 10.40% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 1.208% daily, in the 5th percentile of its history since 2014. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1286.54 USD, 2.02% of price. It has returned -1.74% over 5 days and -1.04% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.70 / correlation +0.52 (52-week); beta +1.42 / correlation +0.57 (26-week). Against the US dollar index (DXY), its weekly-return beta -1.61 / correlation -0.22 (52-week); beta -2.00 / correlation -0.33 (26-week).

=== BITCOIN (BTC)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-08-12, prior 2026-08-11)
    close       63754.00
    change      +202.12  (+0.318%)
  range            (as of 2026-08-12)
    range       323.82
    close pos   77.3% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-08-12)
     20d MA     64063.11   price below by -0.48%
     50d MA     63344.59   price above by +0.65%
    200d MA     69745.65   price below by -8.59%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 200d > 20d > 50d
  volatility       (as of 2026-08-12)
    20d stdev   1.208% daily ≈ 23.1% annualized (×√365, 24/7 market)   (5th pct of own history, since 2014 (4328 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.48× (1.208% vs 2.494% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-08-12)
    ATR(14)    1286.54
    ATR%        2.02%   (7th pct of own history, since 2014 (4334 obs))
    range/ATR   25.2%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-08-12)
    RVOL        0.99x  (today vs 20-day average volume)
    pctile      53rd pct of own history, since 2014 (4328 obs)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-08-12)
    high        126198.07   (-49.48% from high)
    low         57747.77   (+10.40% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-08-12)
    RSI(14)     47.64   (38th pct of own history, since 2014 (4334 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-08-12)
     5d return  -1.74%
    20d return  -1.98%
    60d return  -1.04%
  volatility by rate-era
    ZIRP-2009        3.5674%   (from 2014-09-17)
    tightening-2015  4.0527%
    ZIRP-2019        3.8548%
    tightening-2022  2.8650%
    easing-2024      2.4936%
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-08-12)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.42  corr +0.57  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.70  corr +0.52  (52w)
  dollar factor (weekly returns vs DXY; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-08-12)
    vs DXY      beta -2.00  corr -0.33  (26w)
    vs DXY      beta -1.61  corr -0.22  (52w)