Bitcoin (BTC): 20-day volatility 1.098% daily (3rd pct)

On 2026-08-15, Bitcoin (BTC) closed at 62964.7 USD, down 0.02% on the day. It trades at 7.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 42.64 is in the 23rd percentile of its history since 2014. Its 20-day return of -3.64% is in the 32nd percentile. It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 63825.12 / 63509.74 / 69370.89 USD, with price -1.35% / -0.86% / -9.23% against them. Its 52-week range is 57747.77–126198.07 USD; it closed 50.11% below the high and 9.03% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 1.098% daily, in the 3rd percentile of its history since 2014. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1218.96 USD, 1.94% of price. It has returned -1.48% over 5 days and -4.02% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.70 / correlation +0.52 (52-week); beta +1.42 / correlation +0.57 (26-week). Against the US dollar index (DXY), its weekly-return beta -1.61 / correlation -0.21 (52-week); beta -1.96 / correlation -0.32 (26-week).

=== BITCOIN (BTC)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-08-15, prior 2026-08-14)
    close       62964.71
    change      -10.88  (-0.017%)
  range            (as of 2026-08-15)
    range       39.21
    close pos   67.1% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-08-15)
     20d MA     63825.12   price below by -1.35%
     50d MA     63509.74   price below by -0.86%
    200d MA     69370.89   price below by -9.23%
    price < all MAs
    stack: 200d > 20d > 50d
  volatility       (as of 2026-08-15)
    20d stdev   1.098% daily ≈ 21.0% annualized (×√365, 24/7 market)   (3rd pct of own history, since 2014 (4331 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.44× (1.098% vs 2.490% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-08-15)
    ATR(14)    1218.96
    ATR%        1.94%   (6th pct of own history, since 2014 (4337 obs))
    range/ATR   3.2%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-08-15)
    RVOL        0.95x  (today vs 20-day average volume)
    pctile      47th pct of own history, since 2014 (4331 obs)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-08-15)
    high        126198.07   (-50.11% from high)
    low         57747.77   (+9.03% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-08-15)
    RSI(14)     42.64   (23rd pct of own history, since 2014 (4337 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-08-15)
     5d return  -1.48%
    20d return  -3.64%
    60d return  -4.02%
  volatility by rate-era
    ZIRP-2009        3.57%   (from 2014-09-17)
    tightening-2015  4.05%
    ZIRP-2019        3.85%
    tightening-2022  2.86%
    easing-2024      2.49%
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-08-14)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.42  corr +0.57  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.70  corr +0.52  (52w)
  dollar factor (weekly returns vs DXY; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-08-14)
    vs DXY      beta -1.96  corr -0.32  (26w)
    vs DXY      beta -1.61  corr -0.21  (52w)