mercatusdata

Bitcoin (BTC): RSI, volatility, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-10-14, Bitcoin (BTC) closed at 81562.49 USD, down 1.84% on the day. Its 20-day return of -3.34% is in the 33rd percentile of its history since 2014. At the 2026-10-14 close, Bitcoin (BTC) had an RSI(14) of 46.56, in the 35th percentile of its history since 2014. At the 2026-10-14 close, Bitcoin (BTC) was 40.7% of the way from its 52-week low to its high. At the 2026-10-14 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Bitcoin (BTC) were 83801.36 / 81164.71 / 72204.97 USD, with price -2.67% / +0.49% / +12.96% against them. At the 2026-10-14 close, the 52-week range of Bitcoin (BTC) was 57747.77–116273.31 USD; it closed 29.85% below the high and 41.24% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 1.317% daily, in the 7th percentile of its history since 2014. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 2192.49 USD, 2.69% of price. It has returned -1.19% over 5 days and +29.41% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +1.21 and a correlation of +0.32 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +0.83 and a correlation of +0.17. Against the US dollar index (DXY), its weekly returns show a beta of -1.33 and a correlation of -0.17 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of -2.89 and a correlation of -0.31.

Figures reflect the end-of-day (UTC) snapshot for 2026-10-14.

=== BITCOIN (BTC)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-14, prior 2026-10-13)
    close       81562.49
    change      -1532.63  (-1.844%)
  range            (as of 2026-10-14)
    range       2703.18
    close pos   8.0% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-14)
     20d MA     83801.36   price below by -2.67%
     50d MA     81164.71   price above by +0.49%
    200d MA     72204.97   price above by +12.96%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-14)
    20d stdev   1.317% daily ≈ 25.2% annualised (×√365, 24/7 market)   (7th pct of own history, since 2014 (4391 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.53× (1.317% vs 2.481% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-14)
    ATR(14)    2192.49
    ATR%        2.69%   (21st pct of own history, since 2014 (4397 obs))
    range/ATR   123.3%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-14)
    RVOL        1.18x  (today vs 20-day average volume)
    pctile      74th pct of own history, since 2014 (4391 obs)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-14)
    high        116273.31   (-29.85% from high)
    low         57747.77   (+41.24% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-14)
    RSI(14)     46.56   (35th pct of own history, since 2014 (4397 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-10-14)
     5d return  -1.19%
    20d return  -3.34%
    60d return  +29.41%
    YTD return  -6.80%   from 87508.83 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         3.57%   (from 2014-09-17)
    tightening (2015–2018)   4.05%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         3.85%
    tightening (2022–2023)   2.86%
    easing (2024– )          2.48%
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-10-14)
    vs S&P 500  beta +0.83  corr +0.17  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.21  corr +0.32  (52w)
  dollar factor (weekly returns vs DXY; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-10-14)
    vs DXY      beta -2.89  corr -0.31  (26w)
    vs DXY      beta -1.33  corr -0.17  (52w)