Heating Oil: 20-day return +31.71% (99th pct)

On 2026-07-20, Heating Oil closed at 4.119 USD/gal, up 1.34% on the day. It trades at 74.3% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 68.81 is in the 93rd percentile of its history since 2000, and its 20-day return of +31.71% in the 99th percentile. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 3.5181 / 3.6284 / 3.0399 USD/gal, with price +17.08% / +13.52% / +35.50% against them. Its 52-week range is 2.0469–4.8353 USD/gal; it closed 14.81% below the high and 101.23% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.545% daily, in the 91st percentile of its history since 2000. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.1857 USD/gal, 4.51% of price. It has returned +7.73% over 5 days and +4.60% over 60 days.

=== HEATING OIL  (USD/gal) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-20, prior 2026-07-17)
    close       4.1190
    change      +0.0544  (+1.338%)
  range            (as of 2026-07-20)
    range       0.2024
    close pos   58.5% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-20)
     20d MA     3.5181   price above by +17.08%
     50d MA     3.6284   price above by +13.52%
    200d MA     3.0399   price above by +35.50%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-20)
    20d stdev   3.545% daily ≈ 56.3% annualized (×√252)   (91st pct of own history, since 2000 (6476 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  1.37× (3.545% vs 2.594% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-20)
    ATR(14)    0.1857
    ATR%        4.51%   (87th pct of own history, since 2000 (6482 obs))
    range/ATR   109.0%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-20)
    high        4.8353   (-14.81% from high)
    low         2.0469   (+101.23% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-20)
    RSI(14)     68.81   (93rd pct of own history, since 2000 (6482 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-20)
     5d return  +7.73%
    20d return  +31.71%
    60d return  +4.60%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       2.4954%   (from 2000-09-01)
    ZIRP-2009        1.8946%
    tightening-2015  1.9779%
    ZIRP-2019        2.5190%
    tightening-2022  3.1570%
    easing-2024      2.5937%