Heating Oil: 20-day return +31.52% (99th pct)

On 2026-07-22, Heating Oil closed at 4.1488 USD/gal, up 0.54% on the day. It trades at 75.4% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 69.56 is in the 94th percentile of its history since 2000, and its 20-day return of +31.52% in the 99th percentile. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 3.6195 / 3.6396 / 3.0585 USD/gal, with price +14.62% / +13.99% / +35.65% against them. Its 52-week range is 2.0469–4.8353 USD/gal; it closed 14.20% below the high and 102.69% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.513% daily, in the 91st percentile of its history since 2000. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.1753 USD/gal, 4.22% of price. It has returned +5.08% over 5 days and +6.72% over 60 days.

=== HEATING OIL  (USD/gal) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-22, prior 2026-07-21)
    close       4.1488
    change      +0.0222  (+0.538%)
  range            (as of 2026-07-22)
    range       0.1281
    close pos   34.7% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-22)
     20d MA     3.6195   price above by +14.62%
     50d MA     3.6396   price above by +13.99%
    200d MA     3.0585   price above by +35.65%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-22)
    20d stdev   3.513% daily ≈ 55.8% annualized (×√252)   (91st pct of own history, since 2000 (6478 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  1.36× (3.513% vs 2.590% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-22)
    ATR(14)    0.1753
    ATR%        4.22%   (84th pct of own history, since 2000 (6484 obs))
    range/ATR   73.1%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-22)
    high        4.8353   (-14.20% from high)
    low         2.0469   (+102.69% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-22)
    RSI(14)     69.56   (94th pct of own history, since 2000 (6484 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-22)
     5d return  +5.08%
    20d return  +31.52%
    60d return  +6.72%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       2.4954%   (from 2000-09-01)
    ZIRP-2009        1.8946%
    tightening-2015  1.9779%
    ZIRP-2019        2.5190%
    tightening-2022  3.1570%
    easing-2024      2.5897%