Heating Oil: 20-day return +25.12% (99th pct)

On 2026-07-24, Heating Oil closed at 4.1266 USD/gal, down 4.95% on the day. It trades at 74.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 62.95 is in the 83rd percentile of its history since 2000, and its 20-day return of +25.12% in the 99th percentile. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 3.7192 / 3.6464 / 3.0785 USD/gal, with price +10.95% / +13.17% / +34.05% against them. Its 52-week range is 2.0469–4.8353 USD/gal; it closed 14.66% below the high and 101.60% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.826% daily, in the 93rd percentile of its history since 2000. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.184 USD/gal, 4.46% of price. It has returned +1.53% over 5 days and +3.91% over 60 days.

=== HEATING OIL  (USD/gal) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-24, prior 2026-07-23)
    close       4.1266
    change      -0.2150  (-4.952%)
  range            (as of 2026-07-24)
    range       0.1773
    close pos   16.9% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-24)
     20d MA     3.7192   price above by +10.95%
     50d MA     3.6464   price above by +13.17%
    200d MA     3.0785   price above by +34.05%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-24)
    20d stdev   3.826% daily ≈ 60.7% annualized (×√252)   (93rd pct of own history, since 2000 (6480 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  1.47× (3.826% vs 2.600% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-24)
    ATR(14)    0.1840
    ATR%        4.46%   (86th pct of own history, since 2000 (6486 obs))
    range/ATR   96.4%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-24)
    high        4.8353   (-14.66% from high)
    low         2.0469   (+101.60% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-24)
    RSI(14)     62.95   (83rd pct of own history, since 2000 (6486 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-24)
     5d return  +1.53%
    20d return  +25.12%
    60d return  +3.91%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       2.4954%   (from 2000-09-01)
    ZIRP-2009        1.8946%
    tightening-2015  1.9779%
    ZIRP-2019        2.5190%
    tightening-2022  3.1570%
    easing-2024      2.5995%