Heating Oil: 20-day return +30.81% (99th pct)

On 2026-07-30, Heating Oil closed at 4.2094 USD/gal, down 3.68% on the day. It trades at 77.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 61.42 is in the 79th percentile of its history since 2000, and its 20-day return of +30.81% in the 99th percentile. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 3.9102 / 3.6635 / 3.1177 USD/gal, with price +7.65% / +14.90% / +35.01% against them. Its 52-week range is 2.0469–4.8353 USD/gal; it closed 12.94% below the high and 105.65% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.765% daily, in the 93rd percentile of its history since 2000. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.1834 USD/gal, 4.36% of price. It has returned -3.04% over 5 days and +3.34% over 60 days.

=== HEATING OIL  (USD/gal) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-30, prior 2026-07-29)
    close       4.2094
    change      -0.1607  (-3.677%)
  range            (as of 2026-07-30)
    range       0.1903
    close pos   20.8% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-30)
     20d MA     3.9102   price above by +7.65%
     50d MA     3.6635   price above by +14.90%
    200d MA     3.1177   price above by +35.01%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-30)
    20d stdev   3.765% daily ≈ 59.8% annualized (×√252)   (93rd pct of own history, since 2000 (6484 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  1.45× (3.765% vs 2.602% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-30)
    ATR(14)    0.1834
    ATR%        4.36%   (85th pct of own history, since 2000 (6490 obs))
    range/ATR   103.8%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-07-30)
    RVOL        0.49x  (today vs 20-day average volume)
    pctile      8th pct of own history, since 2000 (6469 obs)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-30)
    high        4.8353   (-12.94% from high)
    low         2.0469   (+105.65% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-30)
    RSI(14)     61.42   (79th pct of own history, since 2000 (6490 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-30)
     5d return  -3.04%
    20d return  +30.81%
    60d return  +3.34%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       2.4954%   (from 2000-09-01)
    ZIRP-2009        1.8946%
    tightening-2015  1.9779%
    ZIRP-2019        2.5190%
    tightening-2022  3.1570%
    easing-2024      2.6016%