USD/JPY — 2026-06-25

Daily snapshot for USD/JPY on 2026-06-25: price level, daily change, moving averages, RSI(14), ATR, 52-week range position, positioning, and the central-bank decision horizon. Facts only — reporting, not advice.

=== USD/JPY  (pip 0.01) ===
  >> close 161.811  +0.131%   · 52wk position 99.4% of range (52wk)
     cross-signal: signals align USD/JPY up: 52wk position, RSI(14), 20d return, positioning net%OI, daily %
  price & change   (as of 2026-06-25, prior 2026-06-24)
    close       161.811
    change      +0.212  (+0.131%, +21.2 pips)
    gap         +0.151  (+15.1 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-06-25)
    range       0.350  (35.0 pips)
    close pos   74.6% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-06-25)
     20d MA     160.430   price above by +0.86%
     50d MA     159.289   price above by +1.58%
    200d MA     156.242   price above by +3.56%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-06-25)
    20d stdev   0.152% daily
  ATR              (as of 2026-06-25)
    ATR(14)    0.567  (56.7 pips)
    ATR%        0.35%
    range/ATR   61.7%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-06-25)
    high        161.914   (-0.06% from high)
    low         144.234   (+12.19% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-06-25)
    RSI(14)     74.68
  returns          (as of 2026-06-25)
     5d return  +0.75%
    20d return  +1.41%
    60d return  +1.97%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.8804%
    ZIRP-2009        0.6396%
    tightening-2015  0.5829%
    ZIRP-2019        0.4159%
    tightening-2022  0.6795%
    easing-2024      0.5988%
  positioning      (as of 2026-06-16)  (predates 2026-06-17 FOMC)
    net         -96,772 contracts (net short JPY)
    net % OI    -18.6%
    net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 129w)
    w/w change  +3,072
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-06-24)
    vs DXY      +0.56
    vs S&P 500  -0.12
    vs DXY beta +0.77 (26w)