On 2026-07-21, GBP/USD closed at 1.34317, down 0.11% on the day. It trades at 50.3% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 54.72 is in the 65th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +1.39% in the 73rd percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net +10.8% of open interest, in the 47th percentile of its own two-year range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1.33408 / 1.33771 / 1.33974, with price +0.68% / +0.41% / +0.26% against them. Its 52-week range is 1.30117–1.38468; it closed 3.00% below the high and 3.23% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.375% daily, in the 17th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00885 (88.5 pips), 0.66% of price. It has returned +0.63% over 5 days and -0.79% over 60 days.
=== GBP/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.34317 -0.109%
price & change (as of 2026-07-21, prior 2026-07-20)
close 1.34317
change -0.00146 (-0.109%, -14.6 pips)
gap -0.00145 (-14.5 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-21)
range 0.00944 (94.4 pips)
close pos 75.0% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-21)
20d MA 1.33408 price above by +0.68%
50d MA 1.33771 price above by +0.41%
200d MA 1.33974 price above by +0.26%
price > all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-21)
20d stdev 0.375% daily ≈ 5.9% annualized (×√252) (17th pct of own history, since 2003 (5848 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.86× (0.375% vs 0.434% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-21)
ATR(14) 0.00885 (88.5 pips)
ATR% 0.66% (15th pct of own history, since 2003 (5854 obs))
range/ATR 106.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-21)
high 1.38468 (-3.00% from high)
low 1.30117 (+3.23% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-21)
RSI(14) 54.72 (65th pct of own history, since 2003 (5854 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-21)
5d return +0.63%
20d return +1.39%
60d return -0.79%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.6129% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.5765%
tightening-2015 0.6404%
ZIRP-2019 0.5553%
tightening-2022 0.6549%
easing-2024 0.4336%
positioning (as of 2026-07-14)
next COT as of 2026-07-21 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net +28,541 contracts (net long GBP)
net % OI +10.8%
net%OI range -5.4% … +29.1% (own 133w)
w/w change +10,562
rate differential (GBP–USD policy)
GBP (BOE_BANK_RATE) 3.75% (as of 2026-07-21, official Bank Rate)
next BoE 2026-07-30 (9 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-07-21, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-07-29 (8 days)
differential +0.12% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-21)
vs DXY -0.71
vs S&P 500 +0.23
vs DXY beta -0.83 (26w)