mercatusdata

GBP/USD: RSI, volatility, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-10-12, GBP/USD closed at 1.3238, up 0.07% on the day. At the 2026-10-12 close, GBP/USD was 27.1% of the way from its 52-week low to its high. At the 2026-10-12 close, GBP/USD had an RSI(14) of 39.83, in the 20th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of -2.13% was in the 17th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net +4.7% of open interest, at 29% of its own two-year positioning range. It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-12 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of GBP/USD were 1.3293 / 1.34398 / 1.34391, with price -0.41% / -1.50% / -1.50% against them. At the 2026-10-12 close, the 52-week range of GBP/USD was 1.30117–1.38468; it closed 4.40% below the high and 1.74% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.316% daily, in the 8th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00677 (67.7 pips), 0.51% of price. It has returned -0.04% over 5 days and -1.55% over 60 days.

Figures reflect the latest daily snapshot for 2026-10-12.

=== GBP/USD  (pip 0.0001) ===
  >> close 1.32380  +0.067%
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-12, prior 2026-10-09)
    close       1.32380
    change      +0.00089  (+0.067%, +8.9 pips)
    gap         +0.00103  (+10.3 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-10-12)
    range       0.00284  (28.4 pips)
    close pos   49.3% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-12)
     20d MA     1.32930   price below by -0.41%
     50d MA     1.34398   price below by -1.50%
    200d MA     1.34391   price below by -1.50%
    price < all MAs
    stack: 50d > 200d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-12)
    20d stdev   0.316% daily ≈ 5.0% annualised (×√252)   (8th pct of own history, since 2003 (5907 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.75× (0.316% vs 0.424% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-12)
    ATR(14)    0.00677  (67.7 pips)
    ATR%        0.51%   (4th pct of own history, since 2003 (5913 obs))
    range/ATR   42.0%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-12)
    high        1.38468   (-4.40% from high)
    low         1.30117   (+1.74% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-12)
    RSI(14)     39.83   (20th pct of own history, since 2003 (5913 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-10-12)
     5d return  -0.04%
    20d return  -2.13%
    60d return  -1.55%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (through 2008) 0.61%   (from 2003-12-01)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         0.58%
    tightening (2015–2018)   0.64%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         0.56%
    tightening (2022–2023)   0.65%
    easing (2024– )          0.42%
  positioning      (as of 2026-10-06)
    next COT     as of 2026-10-13 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
    net         +12,432 contracts (net long GBP)
    net % OI    +4.7%
    net%OI range -5.4% … +29.1% (own 145w)
    w/w change  +7,826
  rate differential (GBP–USD policy)
    GBP (BOE_BANK_RATE)   3.75%  (as of 2026-10-12, official Bank Rate)
    next BoE              2026-11-05  (24 days)
    USD (EFFR)            3.88%  (as of 2026-10-08, daily effective)
    next Fed              2026-10-28  (16 days)
    differential    -0.13%  (base−quote)
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-10-12)
    vs DXY      -0.72
    vs S&P 500  +0.12
    vs DXY beta -0.71 (26w)