mercatusdata

USD/JPY: RSI, volatility, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-10-13, USD/JPY closed at 158.52, up 0.20% on the day. At the 2026-10-13 close, USD/JPY was 62.5% of the way from its 52-week low to its high. At the 2026-10-13 close, USD/JPY had an RSI(14) of 57.66, in the 70th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +2.68% was in the 84th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -6.8% of open interest, at 61% of its own two-year positioning range. At the 2026-10-13 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of USD/JPY were 157.546 / 157.697 / 158.545, with price +0.62% / +0.52% / -0.02% against them. At the 2026-10-13 close, the 52-week range of USD/JPY was 149.407–163.979; it closed 3.33% below the high and 6.10% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.318% daily, in the 9th percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1.11 (111 pips), 0.70% of price. It has returned +0.35% over 5 days and -2.44% over 60 days.

Figures reflect the latest daily snapshot for 2026-10-13.

=== USD/JPY  (pip 0.01) ===
  >> close 158.520  +0.200%
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-13, prior 2026-10-12)
    close       158.520
    change      +0.317  (+0.200%, +31.7 pips)
    gap         +0.306  (+30.6 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-10-13)
    range       0.673  (67.3 pips)  (H−L unaffected by the out-of-range close; only close-position is)
    close pos   n/a (close 0.6 pips above high — async-close artifact)
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-13)
     20d MA     157.546   price above by +0.62%
     50d MA     157.697   price above by +0.52%
    200d MA     158.545   price below by -0.02%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-13)
    20d stdev   0.318% daily ≈ 5.0% annualised (×√252)   (9th pct of own history, since 1996 (7737 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.54× (0.318% vs 0.591% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-13)
    ATR(14)    1.110  (111.0 pips)
    ATR%        0.70%   (21st pct of own history, since 1996 (7743 obs))
    range/ATR   60.6%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-13)
    high        163.979   (-3.33% from high)
    low         149.407   (+6.10% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-13)
    RSI(14)     57.66   (70th pct of own history, since 1996 (7743 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-10-13)
     5d return  +0.35%
    20d return  +2.68%
    60d return  -2.44%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (through 2008) 0.88%   (from 1996-10-30)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         0.64%
    tightening (2015–2018)   0.58%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         0.42%
    tightening (2022–2023)   0.68%
    easing (2024– )          0.59%
  positioning      (as of 2026-10-06)
    next COT     as of 2026-10-13 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
    net         -25,043 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
    net % OI    -6.8%
    net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 145w)
    w/w change  -10,882
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-10-13)
    vs DXY      +0.65
    vs S&P 500  -0.18
    vs DXY beta +0.87 (26w)