mercatusdata

EUR/GBP: RSI(14) 25.81 (1st percentile)

On 2026-10-20, EUR/GBP closed at 0.8425, up 0.09% on the day. At the 2026-10-20 close, EUR/GBP was 8.4% of the way from its 52-week low to its high. At the 2026-10-20 close, EUR/GBP had an RSI(14) of 25.81, in the 1st percentile of its history since 1999, and its 20-day return of -1.73% was in the 16th percentile. RSI below 30 is conventionally termed oversold. Leveraged-money positioning is net +4.3% of open interest, at 99% of its own two-year positioning range. It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of EUR/GBP were 0.85062 / 0.85437 / 0.86214, with price -0.95% / -1.39% / -2.28% against them. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 52-week range of EUR/GBP was 0.83846–0.88653; it closed 4.97% below the high and 0.48% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.169% daily, in the 1st percentile of its history since 1999. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00321 (32.1 pips), 0.38% of price. It has returned -0.27% over 5 days and -1.51% over 60 days.

Figures reflect the latest daily snapshot for 2026-10-20.

EUR/GBP here is the price of one euro in British pounds, so a rise means the euro strengthened against the British pound. The series is Yahoo Finance’s daily one for EURGBP=X; currencies trade over the counter, with no central exchange, so this is one data provider’s quote, not an official reference rate such as a central bank’s daily fixing.

=== EUR/GBP  (pip 0.0001) ===
  >> close 0.84250  +0.093%   · price < all MAs; RSI(14) 25.81 (1st pct, since 1999 (7215 obs))
     cross-signal: flow signals split — daily % up / 20d return down
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-20, prior 2026-10-19)
    close       0.84250
    change      +0.00078  (+0.093%, +7.8 pips)
    gap         +0.00077  (+7.7 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-10-20)
    range       0.00414  (41.4 pips)
    close pos   97.6% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-20)
     20d MA     0.85062   price below by -0.95%
     50d MA     0.85437   price below by -1.39%
    200d MA     0.86214   price below by -2.28%
    price < all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-20)
    20d stdev   0.169% daily ≈ 2.7% annualised (×√252)   (1st pct of own history, since 1999 (7209 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.64× (0.169% vs 0.262% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-20)
    ATR(14)    0.00321  (32.1 pips)
    ATR%        0.38%   (3rd pct of own history, since 1999 (7215 obs))
    range/ATR   129.2%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-20)
    high        0.88653   (-4.97% from high)
    low         0.83846   (+0.48% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-20)
    RSI(14)     25.81   (1st pct of own history, since 1999 (7215 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-10-20)
     5d return  -0.27%
    20d return  -1.73%
    60d return  -1.51%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (to 2008)     0.50%   (from 1999-01-04)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         0.55%
    tightening (2015–2018)   0.56%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         0.47%
    tightening (2022–2023)   0.80%
    easing (2024– )          0.26%
  positioning      (as of 2026-10-13)
    next COT     as of 2026-10-20 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
    net         +1,789 contracts (net long EUR/GBP)
    source      standalone EUR/GBP cross future (own OI, not EUR/GBP majors)
    net % OI    +4.3%
    net%OI range -53.5% … +4.9% (own 146w)
    w/w change  -215
  rate differential (EUR–GBP policy)
    EUR (ECB_DFR)         2.50%  (set 2026-09-16, deposit-facility floor)
    next ECB              2026-10-29  (9 days)
    GBP (BOE_BANK_RATE)   3.75%  (as of 2026-10-20, official Bank Rate)
    next BoE              2026-11-05  (16 days)
    differential    -1.25%  (base−quote)
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-10-20)
    vs DXY      +0.07
    vs S&P 500  +0.08
    vs DXY beta +0.04 (26w)