Palladium: RSI, real-yield correlation, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-07-19, Palladium closed at 1249 USD/oz, unchanged on the day. It trades at 16.7% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 38.14 is in the 16th percentile of its history since 1998, and its 20-day return of -11.50% in the 15th percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1363.61 / 1552.41 / 1237.55 USD/oz, with price -8.40% / -19.54% / +0.93% against them. Its 52-week range is 822.8–3380.5 USD/oz; it closed 63.05% below the high and 51.80% above the low. It has returned +4.01% over 5 days and -14.11% over 60 days.

=== PALLADIUM  (USD/oz)  [as of 2026-07-19 · 2d behind 2026-07-21] ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-19, prior 2026-07-12)
    close       1249.00
    change      +0.00  (+0.000%)   [spans 6 sessions: prior close is 2026-07-12]
  range            (as of 2026-07-19)
    range       23.00
    close pos   63.0% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-19)
     20d MA     1363.61   price below by -8.40%
     50d MA     1552.41   price below by -19.54%
    200d MA     1237.55   price above by +0.93%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-19)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; vol measured over a sparse series)
    20d stdev   4.278% daily ≈ 67.9% annualized (×√252)   (81st pct of own history, since 1998 (3011 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.80× (4.278% vs 5.337% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-19)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; ATR measured over a sparse series)
    ATR(14)    60.55
    ATR%        4.85%   (89th pct of own history, since 1998 (3017 obs))
    range/ATR   38.0%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-19)
    high        3380.50   (-63.05% from high)
    low         822.80   (+51.80% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-19)
    RSI(14)     38.14   (16th pct of own history, since 1998 (3017 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-19)
     5d return  +4.01%
    20d return  -11.50%
    60d return  -14.11%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       3.1082%   (from 1998-09-28)
    ZIRP-2009        3.3480%
    tightening-2015  2.8585%
    ZIRP-2019        5.5446%
    tightening-2022  6.1093%
    easing-2024      5.3373%
  real-yield sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-06-29)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.47 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.16 (52w)