Palladium: RSI, real-yield correlation, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-07-26, Palladium closed at 1271.5 USD/oz, up 1.80% on the day. It trades at 17.5% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 40.41 is in the 22nd percentile of its history since 1998, and its 20-day return of -9.90% in the 17th percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1356.62 / 1548.31 / 1234.95 USD/oz, with price -6.27% / -17.88% / +2.96% against them. Its 52-week range is 822.8–3380.5 USD/oz; it closed 62.39% below the high and 54.53% above the low. It has returned +7.74% over 5 days and -12.16% over 60 days.

=== PALLADIUM  (USD/oz) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-26, prior 2026-07-19)
    close       1271.50
    change      +22.50  (+1.801%)   [spans 6 sessions: prior close is 2026-07-19]
  range            (as of 2026-07-26)
    range       24.00
    close pos   50.0% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-26)
     20d MA     1356.62   price below by -6.27%
     50d MA     1548.31   price below by -17.88%
    200d MA     1234.95   price above by +2.96%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-26)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; vol measured over a sparse series)
    20d stdev   4.309% daily ≈ 68.4% annualized (×√252)   (82nd pct of own history, since 1998 (3012 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.81× (4.309% vs 5.322% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-26)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; ATR measured over a sparse series)
    ATR(14)    58.69
    ATR%        4.62%   (87th pct of own history, since 1998 (3018 obs))
    range/ATR   40.9%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-26)
    high        3380.50   (-62.39% from high)
    low         822.80   (+54.53% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-26)
    RSI(14)     40.41   (22nd pct of own history, since 1998 (3018 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-26)
     5d return  +7.74%
    20d return  -9.90%
    60d return  -12.16%
  volatility by rate-era  (thin feed: Pd/Pt daily bars are largely single-price settles; era volatilities include flat placeholder bars)
    pre-crisis       3.1082%   (from 1998-09-28)
    ZIRP-2009        3.3480%
    tightening-2015  2.8585%
    ZIRP-2019        5.5446%
    tightening-2022  6.1093%
    easing-2024      5.3217%
  real-yield sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-06-29)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.47 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.16 (52w)
  cross-asset sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs the US dollar index (DXY) and S&P 500)  (as of 2026-06-29)
    vs DXY      -0.42 (26w)
    vs DXY      -0.14 (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.26 (26w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.23 (52w)