Gold: RSI, real-yield correlation, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-07-29, Gold closed at 4034.7 USD/oz, down 0.04% on the day. It trades at 33.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 43.97 is in the 23rd percentile of its history since 2000, and its 20-day return of -2.90% in the 19th percentile. It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 4061.43 / 4193.13 / 4465.59 USD/oz, with price -0.66% / -3.78% / -9.65% against them. Its 52-week range is 3263.9–5586.2 USD/oz; it closed 27.77% below the high and 23.62% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 1.220% daily, in the 71st percentile of its history since 2000. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 63.55 USD/oz, 1.58% of price. It has returned -0.29% over 5 days and -13.82% over 60 days.

=== GOLD  (USD/oz) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-29, prior 2026-07-28)
    close       4034.70
    change      -1.60  (-0.040%)
  range            (as of 2026-07-29)
    range       16.80
    close pos   100.0% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-29)
     20d MA     4061.43   price below by -0.66%
     50d MA     4193.13   price below by -3.78%
    200d MA     4465.59   price below by -9.65%
    price < all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-29)
    20d stdev   1.220% daily ≈ 19.4% annualized (×√252)   (71st pct of own history, since 2000 (5671 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.87× (1.220% vs 1.407% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-29)
    ATR(14)    63.55
    ATR%        1.58%   (79th pct of own history, since 2000 (5677 obs))
    range/ATR   26.4%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-29)
    high        5586.20   (-27.77% from high)
    low         3263.90   (+23.62% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-29)
    RSI(14)     43.97   (23rd pct of own history, since 2000 (5677 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-29)
     5d return  -0.29%
    20d return  -2.90%
    60d return  -13.82%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       1.3878%   (from 2000-08-31)
    ZIRP-2009        1.1796%
    tightening-2015  0.8388%
    ZIRP-2019        1.0750%
    tightening-2022  0.9428%
    easing-2024      1.4069%
  real-yield sensitivity (gold weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-07-29)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.53 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.46 (52w)
  cross-asset sensitivity (gold weekly returns vs the US dollar index (DXY) and S&P 500)  (as of 2026-07-29)
    vs DXY      -0.17 (26w)
    vs DXY      -0.30 (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.54 (26w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.38 (52w)