Palladium: RSI, real-yield correlation, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-07-30, Palladium closed at 1302.2 USD/oz, up 2.41% on the day. It trades at 18.7% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 43.45 is in the 30th percentile of its history since 1998, and its 20-day return of -8.17% in the 20th percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1350.84 / 1545.31 / 1233.04 USD/oz, with price -3.60% / -15.73% / +5.61% against them. Its 52-week range is 822.8–3380.5 USD/oz; it closed 61.48% below the high and 58.26% above the low. It has returned +7.58% over 5 days and -17.03% over 60 days.

=== PALLADIUM  (USD/oz) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-30, prior 2026-07-26)
    close       1302.20
    change      +30.70  (+2.414%)   [spans 4 sessions: prior close is 2026-07-26]
  range            (as of 2026-07-30)
    range       57.70
    close pos   100.0% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-30)
     20d MA     1350.84   price below by -3.60%
     50d MA     1545.31   price below by -15.73%
    200d MA     1233.04   price above by +5.61%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-30)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; vol measured over a sparse series)
    20d stdev   4.352% daily ≈ 69.1% annualized (×√252)   (83rd pct of own history, since 1998 (3013 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.82× (4.352% vs 5.307% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-30)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; ATR measured over a sparse series)
    ATR(14)    58.62
    ATR%        4.50%   (86th pct of own history, since 1998 (3019 obs))
    range/ATR   98.4%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-30)
    high        3380.50   (-61.48% from high)
    low         822.80   (+58.26% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-30)
    RSI(14)     43.45   (30th pct of own history, since 1998 (3019 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-30)
     5d return  +7.58%
    20d return  -8.17%
    60d return  -17.03%
  volatility by rate-era  (thin feed: Pd/Pt daily bars are largely single-price settles; era volatilities include flat placeholder bars)
    pre-crisis       3.1082%   (from 1998-09-28)
    ZIRP-2009        3.3480%
    tightening-2015  2.8585%
    ZIRP-2019        5.5446%
    tightening-2022  6.1093%
    easing-2024      5.3075%
  real-yield sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-06-29)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.47 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.16 (52w)
  cross-asset sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs the US dollar index (DXY) and S&P 500)  (as of 2026-07-30)
    vs DXY      -0.43 (26w)
    vs DXY      -0.13 (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.29 (26w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.20 (52w)