Gold: 20-day return +12.23% (98th pct)

On 2026-08-10, Gold closed at 4485.7 USD/oz, up 3.34% on the day. It trades at 52.4% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 71.04 is in the 92nd percentile of its history since 2000, and its 20-day return of +12.23% in the 98th percentile. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 4109.19 / 4171.03 / 4471.54 USD/oz, with price +9.16% / +7.54% / +0.32% against them. Its 52-week range is 3272.9–5586.2 USD/oz; it closed 19.70% below the high and 37.06% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 1.587% daily, in the 88th percentile of its history since 2000. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 84.16 USD/oz, 1.88% of price. It has returned +11.21% over 5 days and -4.51% over 60 days.

=== GOLD  (USD/oz) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-08-10, prior 2026-08-07)
    close       4485.70
    change      +145.00  (+3.340%)
  range            (as of 2026-08-10)
    range       50.50
    close pos   84.2% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-08-10)
     20d MA     4109.19   price above by +9.16%
     50d MA     4171.03   price above by +7.54%
    200d MA     4471.54   price above by +0.32%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-08-10)
    20d stdev   1.587% daily ≈ 25.2% annualized (×√252)   (88th pct of own history, since 2000 (5676 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  1.12× (1.587% vs 1.422% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-08-10)
    ATR(14)    84.16
    ATR%        1.88%   (88th pct of own history, since 2000 (5682 obs))
    range/ATR   60.0%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-08-10)
    high        5586.20   (-19.70% from high)
    low         3272.90   (+37.06% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-08-10)
    RSI(14)     71.04   (92nd pct of own history, since 2000 (5682 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-08-10)
     5d return  +11.21%
    20d return  +12.23%
    60d return  -4.51%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       1.3878%   (from 2000-08-31)
    ZIRP-2009        1.1796%
    tightening-2015  0.8388%
    ZIRP-2019        1.0750%
    tightening-2022  0.9428%
    easing-2024      1.4216%
  real-yield sensitivity (gold weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-08-07)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.57 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.49 (52w)
  cross-asset sensitivity (gold weekly returns vs the US dollar index (DXY) and S&P 500)  (as of 2026-08-10)
    vs DXY      -0.21 (26w)
    vs DXY      -0.28 (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.67 (26w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.42 (52w)