Palladium: RSI, real-yield correlation, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-08-10, Palladium closed at 1400.5 USD/oz, up 1.92% on the day. It trades at 22.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 49.89 is in the 47th percentile of its history since 1998, and its 20-day return of -0.76% in the 43rd percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1371.99 / 1554.45 / 1236.48 USD/oz, with price +2.08% / -9.90% / +13.26% against them. Its 52-week range is 822.8–3380.5 USD/oz; it closed 58.57% below the high and 70.21% above the low. It has returned +18.67% over 5 days and -3.25% over 60 days.

=== PALLADIUM  (USD/oz) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-08-10, prior 2026-08-07)
    close       1400.50
    change      +26.40  (+1.921%)
  range            (as of 2026-08-10)
    range       21.00
    close pos   66.7% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-08-10)
     20d MA     1371.99   price above by +2.08%
     50d MA     1554.45   price below by -9.90%
    200d MA     1236.48   price above by +13.26%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-08-10)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; vol measured over a sparse series)
    20d stdev   4.489% daily ≈ 71.3% annualized (×√252)   (85th pct of own history, since 1998 (3012 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.84× (4.489% vs 5.333% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-08-10)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; ATR measured over a sparse series)
    ATR(14)    63.45
    ATR%        4.53%   (86th pct of own history, since 1998 (3018 obs))
    range/ATR   33.1%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-08-10)
    high        3380.50   (-58.57% from high)
    low         822.80   (+70.21% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-08-10)
    RSI(14)     49.89   (47th pct of own history, since 1998 (3018 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-08-10)
     5d return  +18.67%
    20d return  -0.76%
    60d return  -3.25%
  volatility by rate-era  (thin feed: Pd/Pt daily bars are largely single-price settles; era volatilities include flat placeholder bars)
    pre-crisis       3.1082%   (from 1998-09-28)
    ZIRP-2009        3.3480%
    tightening-2015  2.8585%
    ZIRP-2019        5.5446%
    tightening-2022  6.1093%
    easing-2024      5.3332%
  real-yield sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-08-07)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.27 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.05 (52w)
  cross-asset sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs the US dollar index (DXY) and S&P 500)  (as of 2026-08-10)
    vs DXY      -0.45 (26w)
    vs DXY      -0.13 (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.31 (26w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.19 (52w)