Palladium: RSI, real-yield correlation, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-08-19, Palladium closed at 1331 USD/oz, down 3.14% on the day. It trades at 19.9% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 44.86 is in the 34th percentile of its history since 1998, and its 20-day return of -5.68% in the 26th percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1368.51 / 1553.06 / 1236.14 USD/oz, with price -2.74% / -14.30% / +7.67% against them. Its 52-week range is 822.8–3380.5 USD/oz; it closed 60.63% below the high and 61.76% above the low. It has returned +12.78% over 5 days and -8.05% over 60 days.

=== PALLADIUM  (USD/oz) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-08-19, prior 2026-08-07)
    close       1331.00
    change      -43.10  (-3.137%)   [spans 8 sessions: prior close is 2026-08-07]
  range            (as of 2026-08-19)
    range       22.50
    close pos   26.7% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-08-19)
     20d MA     1368.51   price below by -2.74%
     50d MA     1553.06   price below by -14.30%
    200d MA     1236.14   price above by +7.67%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-08-19)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; vol measured over a sparse series)
    20d stdev   4.521% daily ≈ 71.8% annualized (×√252)   (85th pct of own history, since 1998 (3012 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.85× (4.521% vs 5.339% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-08-19)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; ATR measured over a sparse series)
    ATR(14)    64.57
    ATR%        4.85%   (89th pct of own history, since 1998 (3018 obs))
    range/ATR   34.8%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-08-19)
    high        3380.50   (-60.63% from high)
    low         822.80   (+61.76% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-08-19)
    RSI(14)     44.86   (34th pct of own history, since 1998 (3018 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-08-19)
     5d return  +12.78%
    20d return  -5.68%
    60d return  -8.05%
  volatility by rate-era  (thin feed: Pd/Pt daily bars are largely single-price settles; era volatilities include flat placeholder bars)
    pre-crisis       3.11%   (from 1998-09-28)
    ZIRP-2009        3.35%
    tightening-2015  2.86%
    ZIRP-2019        5.54%
    tightening-2022  6.11%
    easing-2024      5.34%
  real-yield sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-08-07)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.27 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.05 (52w)
  cross-asset sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs the US dollar index (DXY) and S&P 500)  (as of 2026-08-19)
    vs DXY      -0.43 (26w)
    vs DXY      -0.13 (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.31 (26w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.20 (52w)