Palladium: RSI, real-yield correlation, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-08-21, Palladium closed at 1362.5 USD/oz, down 0.84% on the day. It trades at 21.1% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 47.01 is in the 39th percentile of its history since 1998, and its 20-day return of -3.45% in the 33rd percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1370.09 / 1553.69 / 1236.3 USD/oz, with price -0.55% / -12.31% / +10.21% against them. Its 52-week range is 822.8–3380.5 USD/oz; it closed 59.70% below the high and 65.59% above the low. It has returned +15.45% over 5 days and -5.88% over 60 days.

=== PALLADIUM  (USD/oz) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-08-21, prior 2026-08-07)
    close       1362.50
    change      -11.60  (-0.844%)   [spans 10 sessions: prior close is 2026-08-07]
  range            (as of 2026-08-21)
    range       26.50
    close pos   98.1% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-08-21)
     20d MA     1370.09   price below by -0.55%
     50d MA     1553.69   price below by -12.31%
    200d MA     1236.30   price above by +10.21%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-08-21)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; vol measured over a sparse series)
    20d stdev   4.471% daily ≈ 71.0% annualized (×√252)   (85th pct of own history, since 1998 (3012 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.84× (4.471% vs 5.333% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-08-21)  (thin feed: most daily bars are single-price settles, excluded at read; ATR measured over a sparse series)
    ATR(14)    63.75
    ATR%        4.68%   (88th pct of own history, since 1998 (3018 obs))
    range/ATR   41.6%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-08-21)
    high        3380.50   (-59.70% from high)
    low         822.80   (+65.59% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-08-21)
    RSI(14)     47.01   (39th pct of own history, since 1998 (3018 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-08-21)
     5d return  +15.45%
    20d return  -3.45%
    60d return  -5.88%
  volatility by rate-era  (thin feed: Pd/Pt daily bars are largely single-price settles; era volatilities include flat placeholder bars)
    pre-crisis       3.11%   (from 1998-09-28)
    ZIRP-2009        3.35%
    tightening-2015  2.86%
    ZIRP-2019        5.54%
    tightening-2022  6.11%
    easing-2024      5.33%
  real-yield sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-08-07)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.27 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.05 (52w)
  cross-asset sensitivity (palladium weekly returns vs the US dollar index (DXY) and S&P 500)  (as of 2026-08-21)
    vs DXY      -0.44 (26w)
    vs DXY      -0.13 (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.31 (26w)
    vs S&P 500  +0.20 (52w)