Gold: RSI, real-yield correlation, 52-week range · daily
On 2026-10-12, Gold closed at 4190.6 USD/oz, down 0.61% on the day. At the 2026-10-12 close, Gold was 16.6% of the way from its 52-week low to its high. At the 2026-10-12 close, Gold had an RSI(14) of 41.55, in the 17th percentile of its history since 2000, and its 20-day return of -3.71% was in the 15th percentile. It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-12 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Gold were 4259.53 / 4370.52 / 4526.47 USD/oz, with price -1.62% / -4.12% / -7.42% against them. At the 2026-10-12 close, the 52-week range of Gold was 3913.7–5586.2 USD/oz; it closed 24.98% below the high and 7.08% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 1.092% daily, in the 60th percentile of its history since 2000. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 86.28 USD/oz, 2.06% of price. It has returned +0.81% over 5 days and +4.43% over 60 days.
Figures reflect the latest daily snapshot for 2026-10-12.
=== GOLD (USD/oz) ===
price & change (as of 2026-10-12, prior 2026-10-09)
close 4190.60
change -25.70 (-0.610%)
range (as of 2026-10-12)
range 64.20
close pos 19.5% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-10-12)
20d MA 4259.53 price below by -1.62%
50d MA 4370.52 price below by -4.12%
200d MA 4526.47 price below by -7.42%
price < all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-10-12)
20d stdev 1.092% daily ≈ 17.3% annualised (×√252) (60th pct of own history, since 2000 (5719 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.78× (1.092% vs 1.409% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-10-12)
ATR(14) 86.28
ATR% 2.06% (91st pct of own history, since 2000 (5725 obs))
range/ATR 74.4%
52-week range (as of 2026-10-12)
high 5586.20 (-24.98% from high)
low 3913.70 (+7.08% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-10-12)
RSI(14) 41.55 (17th pct of own history, since 2000 (5725 obs))
returns (as of 2026-10-12)
5d return +0.81%
20d return -3.71%
60d return +4.43%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis (through 2008) 1.39% (from 2000-08-31)
ZIRP (2009–2015) 1.18%
tightening (2015–2018) 0.84%
ZIRP (2019–2021) 1.08%
tightening (2022–2023) 0.94%
easing (2024– ) 1.41%
real-yield sensitivity (gold weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-10-08)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.39 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.47 (52w)
cross-asset sensitivity (gold weekly returns vs the US dollar index (DXY) and S&P 500) (as of 2026-10-12)
vs DXY -0.45 (26w)
vs DXY -0.35 (52w)
vs S&P 500 +0.51 (26w)
vs S&P 500 +0.41 (52w)