Gold: RSI, real-yield correlation, 52-week range · daily
On 2026-10-16, Gold closed at 4181.1 USD/oz, up 0.26% on the day. At the 2026-10-16 close, Gold was 16.0% of the way from its 52-week low to its high. At the 2026-10-16 close, Gold had an RSI(14) of 43.62, in the 23rd percentile of its history since 2000, and its 20-day return of -5.51% was in the 7th percentile. It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-16 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Gold were 4214.11 / 4370.91 / 4527.75 USD/oz, with price -0.78% / -4.34% / -7.66% against them. At the 2026-10-16 close, the 52-week range of Gold was 3913.7–5586.2 USD/oz; it closed 25.15% below the high and 6.83% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 1.143% daily, in the 72nd percentile of its history since 2000. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 83.1 USD/oz, 1.99% of price. It has returned -0.83% over 5 days and +3.32% over 60 days.
Figures reflect the latest daily snapshot for 2026-10-16.
Gold here is the continuous series of the COMEX Gold futures contract (GC), priced in US dollars per troy ounce: a futures price, not the spot price or the LBMA fixing.
=== GOLD (USD/oz) ===
price & change (as of 2026-10-16, prior 2026-10-15)
close 4181.10
change +11.00 (+0.264%)
range (as of 2026-10-16)
range 52.90
close pos 25.7% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-10-16)
20d MA 4214.11 price below by -0.78%
50d MA 4370.91 price below by -4.34%
200d MA 4527.75 price below by -7.66%
price < all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-10-16)
20d stdev 1.143% daily ≈ 18.2% annualised (×√252) (72nd pct of own history, since 2000 (6521 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.83× (1.143% vs 1.381% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-10-16)
ATR(14) 83.10
ATR% 1.99% (90th pct of own history, since 2000 (5729 obs))
range/ATR 63.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-10-16)
high 5586.20 (-25.15% from high)
low 3913.70 (+6.83% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-10-16)
RSI(14) 43.62 (23rd pct of own history, since 2000 (6527 obs))
returns (as of 2026-10-16)
5d return -0.83%
20d return -5.51%
60d return +3.32%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis (to 2008) 1.19% (from 2000-08-31)
ZIRP (2009–2015) 1.16%
tightening (2015–2018) 0.81%
ZIRP (2019–2021) 1.04%
tightening (2022–2023) 0.91%
easing (2024– ) 1.38%
real-yield sensitivity (gold weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-10-15)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.34 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.43 (52w)
cross-asset sensitivity (gold weekly returns vs the US dollar index (DXY) and S&P 500) (as of 2026-10-16)
vs DXY -0.43 (26w)
vs DXY -0.35 (52w)
vs S&P 500 +0.47 (26w)
vs S&P 500 +0.40 (52w)