On 2026-07-16, Costco (COST) closed at 945.57 USD, up 3.17% on the day. Its 20-day return of -4.17% is in the 20th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 48.69 is in the 37th percentile of its history since 1986. It trades at 40.2% of its 52-week range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 941.54 / 978.95 / 956.62 USD, with price +0.43% / -3.41% / -1.16% against them. Its 52-week range is 844.06–1096.5 USD; it closed 13.76% below the high and 12.03% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 1.676% daily, in the 56th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 20.46 USD, 2.16% of price. It has returned +3.57% over 5 days and -5.24% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta -0.03 / correlation -0.02 (52-week); beta -0.27 / correlation -0.17 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.15 (52-week); -0.02 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-09-24.
=== COSTCO (COST) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-16, prior 2026-07-15)
close 945.57
change +29.03 (+3.167%)
range (as of 2026-07-16)
range 24.26
close pos 99.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-16)
20d MA 941.54 price above by +0.43%
50d MA 978.95 price below by -3.41%
200d MA 956.62 price below by -1.16%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 200d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-16)
20d stdev 1.676% daily ≈ 26.6% annualized (×√252) (56th pct of own history, since 1986 (10062 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.29× (1.676% vs 1.297% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-16)
ATR(14) 20.46
ATR% 2.16% (46th pct of own history, since 1986 (10068 obs))
range/ATR 118.6%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-16)
high 1096.50 (-13.76% from high)
low 844.06 (+12.03% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-16)
RSI(14) 48.69 (37th pct of own history, since 1986 (10068 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-16)
5d return +3.57%
20d return -4.17%
60d return -5.24%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.3285% (from 1986-07-09)
ZIRP-2009 1.2279%
tightening-2015 1.2566%
ZIRP-2019 1.3913%
tightening-2022 1.6389%
easing-2024 1.2967%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-15)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.02 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.15 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-16)
vs S&P 500 beta -0.27 corr -0.17 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta -0.03 corr -0.02 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-09-24 (70 days)