On 2026-07-21, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 397.75 USD, down 1.13% on the day. Its 20-day return of +8.28% is in the 81st percentile. It trades at 23.5% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 53.40 is in the 50th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 383.82 / 400.82 / 438.16 USD, with price +3.63% / -0.77% / -9.22% against them. Its 52-week range is 349.2–555.45 USD; it closed 28.39% below the high and 13.90% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 2.186% daily, in the 69th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 11.76 USD, 2.96% of price. It has returned +3.33% over 5 days and -4.33% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.25 / correlation +0.54 (52-week); beta +1.40 / correlation +0.54 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.24 (52-week); -0.31 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-07-29.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-21, prior 2026-07-20)
close 397.75
change -4.54 (-1.129%)
range (as of 2026-07-21)
range 5.15
close pos 27.8% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-21)
20d MA 383.82 price above by +3.63%
50d MA 400.82 price below by -0.77%
200d MA 438.16 price below by -9.22%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-21)
20d stdev 2.186% daily ≈ 34.7% annualized (×√252) (69th pct of own history, since 1986 (9933 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.39× (2.186% vs 1.576% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-21)
ATR(14) 11.76
ATR% 2.96% (68th pct of own history, since 1986 (9939 obs))
range/ATR 43.8%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-21)
high 555.45 (-28.39% from high)
low 349.20 (+13.90% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-21)
RSI(14) 53.40 (50th pct of own history, since 1986 (9939 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-21)
5d return +3.33%
20d return +8.28%
60d return -4.33%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.5611% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.6240%
tightening-2015 1.4234%
ZIRP-2019 1.9115%
tightening-2022 1.9351%
easing-2024 1.5763%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-21)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.31 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.24 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-07-21)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.40 corr +0.54 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.25 corr +0.54 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-07-29 (8 days)