Canadian 10-Year yield: RSI, moving averages and 52-week range, each vs its own history
The Canadian 10-year yield rose 9.0 bp to 3.93% on 2026-10-19, the 93rd percentile of its daily changes by size since 2001. It is 6 bp below its 52-week high and 89 bp above its 52-week low, and is above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20-day change of +10 bp is in the 71st percentile of its history since 2001. The Canadian 10-year yield's RSI(14) was 56.25 on 2026-10-19, the 71st percentile of its history since 2001. On 2026-10-19, the Canadian 10-year yield's 52-week high was 3.99%, set on 2026-09-29, and the 52-week low 3.04%, set on 2025-10-28. On 2026-10-19, the Canadian 10-year yield's 20-day moving average was 3.91%. On 2026-10-19, the Canadian 10-year yield's 50-day moving average was 3.82%. On 2026-10-19, the Canadian 10-year yield's 200-day moving average was 3.54%.
Figures reflect the latest daily snapshot for 2026-10-19.
Today
0 state changes · 1 notable move
Ranked shifts (vs 2026-10-16)
| Metric | Prior | Today | Change | Move percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.22 | 56.25 | +10.03 pts | 97th |
| 20-day MA dist | -6.3 bp | +2.2 bp | +8.5 bp | 92nd |
| 200-day MA dist | +30.1 bp | +38.9 bp | +8.8 bp | 92nd |
| 50-day MA dist | +3.1 bp | +11.3 bp | +8.2 bp | 91st |
Notable moves today
- RSI moved +10.0 — 97th percentile daily move
Yield and momentum
- Yield
- 3.93%
- Daily change
- +9.0 bp
- RSI (14)
- 56.25 — 71st percentile since 2001 (6436 obs)
- 20-day yield change
- +10 bp — 71st percentile since 2001 (6430 obs)
Moving averages
| Period | Level | Yield vs MA |
|---|---|---|
| 20-day MA | 3.91% | +2 bp |
| 50-day MA | 3.82% | +11 bp |
| 200-day MA | 3.54% | +39 bp |
52-week range
- Position
- 93.7% of range
- 52-week high
- 3.99% · yield -6 bp
- 52-week low
- 3.04% · yield +89 bp
Yield chart
Volatility
- 20-day realised yield volatility
- 4.6 bp/day — 58th percentile since 2001 (6430 obs)
Yield changes
- 5-day
- +7 bp
- 60-day
- +37 bp
- 120-day
- +47 bp
- 252-day
- +79 bp
Spread to the US 10-Year Treasury (US minus Canadian): +122 bp as of 2026-10-19, -3.0 bp vs prior; 98th percentile of its own history, since 2001 (6326 obs).
Rules-based reading
A transparent, rules-based reading of the facts on this page. Each badge traces to a published rule and to the metrics shown. Reporting, not advice.
- Trend: Above all moving averages
- Level: Mid-range by its own history
- Volatility: Normal
- 52-week position: High in range
- RSI: Neutral
What these badges mean
- Trend
- The yield is above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. A position versus trend, not a direction to trade.
- Level
- The current yield is at the 73rd percentile of this tenor's history since 2001. A level versus its own history — not itself high or low value, and not a direction.
- Volatility
- 20-day realised yield volatility at the 58th percentile of its own history since 2001. Higher = larger daily yield swings; a magnitude, not a direction.
- 52-week position
- The yield is at 93.7% of its 52-week range. A position within the range — not itself high or low value, and not a direction.
- RSI
- RSI(14) on the yield series is 56.25. Readings of 70 and above are stretched high (the yield has risen faster than it has fallen recently), below 30 stretched low (the reverse), and between them neutral. A momentum reading, not a recommendation.
Source and history
Source: Bank of Canada, Government of Canada benchmark bond yields. The yields are the Bank’s mid-market closing yields of selected benchmark bonds; every indicator on this page (changes, moving averages, ranges, volatility, RSI and their percentiles) is computed by mercatusdata from them, not by the Bank, and the Bank does not endorse this page.
Each tenor follows one benchmark bond at a time, and the Bank moves the tenor to a newer bond from time to time, so a single day’s change can include that switch as well as the market’s move.
Full daily summary
On 2026-10-19, the Canadian 10-year yield rose 9.0 bp to 3.93%. On 2026-10-19, the Canadian 10-year yield was 93.7% of the way from its 52-week low to its high. On 2026-10-19, the Canadian 10-year yield's RSI(14) of 56.25 was in the 71st percentile of its history since 2001, and its 20-day yield change of +10 bp in the 71st percentile. Its yield sits above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. On 2026-10-19, the Canadian 10-year yield's 20/50/200-day moving averages were 3.91% / 3.82% / 3.54%, with the yield +2 bp / +11 bp / +39 bp against them. On 2026-10-19, the Canadian 10-year yield's 52-week range was 3.04–3.99%; the yield is 6 bp below the 52-week high and 89 bp above the low. Its 20-day yield volatility is 4.6 bp/day, in the 58th percentile since 2001. Its yield has changed +7 bp over 5 days and +37 bp over 60 days.
Methodology
Full definitions for every metric on this page — how each is computed, over what window and on what basis — are on the methodology page. Bond metrics are defined in yield space: changes and distances in basis points, not percent.