Government bond yields: US Treasuries, Germany, Japan, Canada and the UK — daily facts
Daily US Treasury yields, curve slope, real yield and breakevens, plus German, Japanese, Canadian and UK yields, each vs its own history. Not advice.
Yield curve (longer minus shorter tenor, in bp)
slope
daily chg
20-day chg
1-yr range
own-history
2s10s
+38 bp
+3.0 bp
+13.0 bp
+20…+74
33rd percentile, since 1976 (12592 obs)
2s30s
+71 bp
+2.0 bp
+13.0 bp
+53…+140
39th percentile, since 1977 (11420 obs)
Yield-curve assessment
A transparent, rules-based reading of the whole curve. Each badge traces to a published rule and to the metrics on this page. Reporting, not advice.
Curve shape: Normal (upward)
Curve trend: Steepening
10Y real yield: High by its own history
10Y breakeven: Normal inflation compensation
What these badges mean
Curve shape
The 2s10s slope (10-year minus 2-year yield) is +38 bp. Slopes of +10 bp and above read normal (upward), below −10 bp inverted, and between them flat. A shape, not a direction to trade.
Curve trend
The 2s10s slope has changed +13 bp over the last 20 sessions (steepening). A change in curve shape, not a direction to trade.
10Y real yield
The 10-year real (TIPS) yield is +2.80% (positive real yield), at the 99th percentile of its own history since 2003. A level versus its own history, not a direction.
10Y breakeven
The 10-year breakeven inflation rate is +2.35%, at the 72nd percentile of its own history since 2003. Inflation compensation priced into nominal yields; a level, not a direction.