Bitcoin (BTC): RSI, volatility and 52-week range

On 2026-07-20, Bitcoin (BTC) closed at 64803.4 USD, up 0.17% on the day. It trades at 10.3% of its 52-week range. Its 20-day return of +10.66% is in the 74th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 55.20 is in the 60th percentile of its history since 2014. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 63449.35 / 63180.44 / 72924.99 USD, with price +2.13% / +2.57% / -11.14% against them. Its 52-week range is 57747.77–126198.07 USD; it closed 48.65% below the high and 12.22% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 1.607% daily, in the 14th percentile of its history since 2014. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1656.66 USD, 2.56% of price. It has returned +0.14% over 5 days and -16.42% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.72 / correlation +0.52 (52-week); beta +1.53 / correlation +0.49 (26-week). Against the US dollar index (DXY), its weekly-return beta -1.99 / correlation -0.26 (52-week); beta -2.53 / correlation -0.33 (26-week).

=== BITCOIN (BTC)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-20, prior 2026-07-19)
    close       64803.37
    change      +112.57  (+0.174%)
  range            (as of 2026-07-20)
    range       495.32
    close pos   62.1% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-20)
     20d MA     63449.35   price above by +2.13%
     50d MA     63180.44   price above by +2.57%
    200d MA     72924.99   price below by -11.14%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 200d > 20d > 50d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-20)
    20d stdev   1.607% daily ≈ 30.7% annualized (×√365, 24/7 market)   (14th pct of own history, since 2014 (4305 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.64× (1.607% vs 2.517% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-20)
    ATR(14)    1656.66
    ATR%        2.56%   (16th pct of own history, since 2014 (4311 obs))
    range/ATR   29.9%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-20)
    high        126198.07   (-48.65% from high)
    low         57747.77   (+12.22% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-20)
    RSI(14)     55.20   (60th pct of own history, since 2014 (4311 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-20)
     5d return  +0.14%
    20d return  +10.66%
    60d return  -16.42%
  volatility by rate-era
    ZIRP-2009        3.5674%   (from 2014-09-17)
    tightening-2015  4.0527%
    ZIRP-2019        3.8548%
    tightening-2022  2.8650%
    easing-2024      2.5166%
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-20)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.53  corr +0.49  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.72  corr +0.52  (52w)
  dollar factor (weekly returns vs DXY; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-20)
    vs DXY      beta -2.53  corr -0.33  (26w)
    vs DXY      beta -1.99  corr -0.26  (52w)