mercatusdata

Bitcoin (BTC): RSI, volatility, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-10-15, Bitcoin (BTC) closed at 82141.46 USD, up 0.71% on the day. Its 20-day return of -2.25% is in the 36th percentile of its history since 2014. At the 2026-10-15 close, Bitcoin (BTC) had an RSI(14) of 48.70, in the 41st percentile of its history since 2014. At the 2026-10-15 close, Bitcoin (BTC) was 41.7% of the way from its 52-week low to its high. At the 2026-10-15 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Bitcoin (BTC) were 83706.68 / 81226.99 / 72285.9 USD, with price -1.87% / +1.13% / +13.63% against them. At the 2026-10-15 close, the 52-week range of Bitcoin (BTC) was 57747.77–116273.31 USD; it closed 29.35% below the high and 42.24% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 1.330% daily, in the 7th percentile of its history since 2014. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 2236.15 USD, 2.72% of price. It has returned -0.93% over 5 days and +30.76% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +1.21 and a correlation of +0.32 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +0.82 and a correlation of +0.17. Against the US dollar index (DXY), its weekly returns show a beta of -1.32 and a correlation of -0.16 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of -2.82 and a correlation of -0.30.

Figures reflect the end-of-day (UTC) snapshot for 2026-10-15.

=== BITCOIN (BTC)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-15, prior 2026-10-14)
    close       82141.46
    change      +578.97  (+0.710%)
  range            (as of 2026-10-15)
    range       2803.76
    close pos   85.8% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-15)
     20d MA     83706.68   price below by -1.87%
     50d MA     81226.99   price above by +1.13%
    200d MA     72285.90   price above by +13.63%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-15)
    20d stdev   1.330% daily ≈ 25.4% annualised (×√365, 24/7 market)   (7th pct of own history, since 2014 (4392 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.54× (1.330% vs 2.480% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-15)
    ATR(14)    2236.15
    ATR%        2.72%   (22nd pct of own history, since 2014 (4398 obs))
    range/ATR   125.4%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-15)
    RVOL        1.49x  (today vs 20-day average volume)
    pctile      90th pct of own history, since 2014 (4392 obs)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-15)
    high        116273.31   (-29.35% from high)
    low         57747.77   (+42.24% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-15)
    RSI(14)     48.70   (41st pct of own history, since 2014 (4398 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-10-15)
     5d return  -0.93%
    20d return  -2.25%
    60d return  +30.76%
    YTD return  -6.13%   from 87508.83 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         3.57%   (from 2014-09-17)
    tightening (2015–2018)   4.05%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         3.85%
    tightening (2022–2023)   2.86%
    easing (2024– )          2.48%
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-10-15)
    vs S&P 500  beta +0.82  corr +0.17  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.21  corr +0.32  (52w)
  dollar factor (weekly returns vs DXY; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-10-15)
    vs DXY      beta -2.82  corr -0.30  (26w)
    vs DXY      beta -1.32  corr -0.16  (52w)