mercatusdata

Bitcoin (BTC): RSI, volatility, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-10-16, Bitcoin (BTC) closed at 81500.8 USD, down 0.78% on the day. Its 20-day return of -3.44% is in the 32nd percentile of its history since 2014. At the 2026-10-16 close, Bitcoin (BTC) had an RSI(14) of 46.48, in the 34th percentile of its history since 2014. At the 2026-10-16 close, Bitcoin (BTC) was 40.6% of the way from its 52-week low to its high. At the 2026-10-16 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Bitcoin (BTC) were 83561.4 / 81251.86 / 72359.95 USD, with price -2.47% / +0.31% / +12.63% against them. At the 2026-10-16 close, the 52-week range of Bitcoin (BTC) was 57747.77–116273.31 USD; it closed 29.91% below the high and 41.13% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 1.331% daily, in the 7th percentile of its history since 2014. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 2226.56 USD, 2.73% of price. It has returned -2.60% over 5 days and +26.35% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +1.19 and a correlation of +0.32 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +0.81 and a correlation of +0.18. Against the US dollar index (DXY), its weekly returns show a beta of -1.31 and a correlation of -0.16 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of -2.74 and a correlation of -0.30.

Figures reflect the end-of-day (UTC) snapshot for 2026-10-16.

Each bar here is one complete UTC day of Yahoo Finance’s BTC-USD series, in US dollars, from 2014-09-17 to the latest complete day; the full daily history lists the series day by day.

=== BITCOIN (BTC)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-16, prior 2026-10-15)
    close       81500.80
    change      -640.66  (-0.780%)
  range            (as of 2026-10-16)
    range       2101.91
    close pos   37.2% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-16)
     20d MA     83561.40   price below by -2.47%
     50d MA     81251.86   price above by +0.31%
    200d MA     72359.95   price above by +12.63%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-16)
    20d stdev   1.331% daily ≈ 25.4% annualised (×√365, 24/7 market)   (7th pct of own history, since 2014 (4393 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.54× (1.331% vs 2.479% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-16)
    ATR(14)    2226.56
    ATR%        2.73%   (22nd pct of own history, since 2014 (4399 obs))
    range/ATR   94.4%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-16)
    RVOL        0.93x  (today vs 20-day average volume)
    pctile      45th pct of own history, since 2014 (4393 obs)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-16)
    high        116273.31   (-29.91% from high)
    low         57747.77   (+41.13% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-16)
    RSI(14)     46.48   (35th pct of own history, since 2014 (4399 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-10-16)
     5d return  -2.60%
    20d return  -3.44%
    60d return  +26.35%
    YTD return  -6.87%   from 87508.83 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         3.57%   (from 2014-09-17)
    tightening (2015–2018)   4.05%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         3.85%
    tightening (2022–2023)   2.86%
    easing (2024– )          2.48%
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-10-16)
    vs S&P 500  beta +0.81  corr +0.18  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.19  corr +0.32  (52w)
  dollar factor (weekly returns vs DXY; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-10-16)
    vs DXY      beta -2.74  corr -0.30  (26w)
    vs DXY      beta -1.31  corr -0.16  (52w)