Heating Oil: 20-day return +25.58% (99th pct)

On 2026-07-26, Heating Oil closed at 4.0287 USD/gal, down 3.63% on the day. It trades at 71.1% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 58.49 is in the 72nd percentile of its history since 2000, and its 20-day return of +25.58% in the 99th percentile. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 3.7629 / 3.6487 / 3.0876 USD/gal, with price +7.06% / +10.41% / +30.48% against them. Its 52-week range is 2.0469–4.8353 USD/gal; it closed 16.68% below the high and 96.82% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.785% daily, in the 93rd percentile of its history since 2000. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.1876 USD/gal, 4.66% of price. It has returned -2.19% over 5 days and -4.05% over 60 days.

=== HEATING OIL  (USD/gal) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-26, prior 2026-07-24)
    close       4.0287
    change      -0.1519  (-3.633%)
  range            (as of 2026-07-26)
    range       0.1163
    close pos   88.8% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-26)
     20d MA     3.7629   price above by +7.06%
     50d MA     3.6487   price above by +10.41%
    200d MA     3.0876   price above by +30.48%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-26)
    20d stdev   3.785% daily ≈ 60.1% annualized (×√252)   (93rd pct of own history, since 2000 (6481 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  1.46× (3.785% vs 2.598% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-26)
    ATR(14)    0.1876
    ATR%        4.66%   (88th pct of own history, since 2000 (6487 obs))
    range/ATR   62.0%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-26)
    high        4.8353   (-16.68% from high)
    low         2.0469   (+96.82% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-26)
    RSI(14)     58.49   (72nd pct of own history, since 2000 (6487 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-26)
     5d return  -2.19%
    20d return  +25.58%
    60d return  -4.05%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       2.4954%   (from 2000-09-01)
    ZIRP-2009        1.8946%
    tightening-2015  1.9779%
    ZIRP-2019        2.5190%
    tightening-2022  3.1570%
    easing-2024      2.5984%