Heating Oil: 20-day return +23.09% (98th pct)

On 2026-07-27, Heating Oil closed at 3.949 USD/gal, down 5.54% on the day. It trades at 68.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 55.41 is in the 63rd percentile of its history since 2000, and its 20-day return of +23.09% in the 98th percentile. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 3.7589 / 3.6471 / 3.0872 USD/gal, with price +5.06% / +8.28% / +27.92% against them. Its 52-week range is 2.0469–4.8353 USD/gal; it closed 18.33% below the high and 92.93% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.935% daily, in the 94th percentile of its history since 2000. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.1866 USD/gal, 4.73% of price. It has returned -4.13% over 5 days and -5.95% over 60 days.

=== HEATING OIL  (USD/gal) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-27, prior 2026-07-24)
    close       3.9490
    change      -0.2316  (-5.540%)
  range            (as of 2026-07-27)
    range       0.0697
    close pos   14.1% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-27)
     20d MA     3.7589   price above by +5.06%
     50d MA     3.6471   price above by +8.28%
    200d MA     3.0872   price above by +27.92%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-27)
    20d stdev   3.935% daily ≈ 62.5% annualized (×√252)   (94th pct of own history, since 2000 (6481 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  1.51× (3.935% vs 2.604% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-27)
    ATR(14)    0.1866
    ATR%        4.73%   (89th pct of own history, since 2000 (6487 obs))
    range/ATR   37.3%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-27)
    high        4.8353   (-18.33% from high)
    low         2.0469   (+92.93% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-27)
    RSI(14)     55.41   (63rd pct of own history, since 2000 (6487 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-27)
     5d return  -4.13%
    20d return  +23.09%
    60d return  -5.95%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       2.4954%   (from 2000-09-01)
    ZIRP-2009        1.8946%
    tightening-2015  1.9779%
    ZIRP-2019        2.5190%
    tightening-2022  3.1570%
    easing-2024      2.6037%