Heating Oil: 20-day return +24.59% (98th pct)

On 2026-07-28, Heating Oil closed at 4.1509 USD/gal, up 0.96% on the day. It trades at 75.5% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 63.22 is in the 83rd percentile of its history since 2000, and its 20-day return of +24.59% in the 98th percentile. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 3.808 / 3.6553 / 3.0973 USD/gal, with price +9.00% / +13.56% / +34.02% against them. Its 52-week range is 2.0469–4.8353 USD/gal; it closed 14.15% below the high and 102.79% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.627% daily, in the 92nd percentile of its history since 2000. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.1776 USD/gal, 4.28% of price. It has returned +0.59% over 5 days and +0.30% over 60 days.

=== HEATING OIL  (USD/gal) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-28, prior 2026-07-27)
    close       4.1509
    change      +0.0393  (+0.956%)
  range            (as of 2026-07-28)
    range       0.1154
    close pos   80.5% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-28)
     20d MA     3.8080   price above by +9.00%
     50d MA     3.6553   price above by +13.56%
    200d MA     3.0973   price above by +34.02%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-28)
    20d stdev   3.627% daily ≈ 57.6% annualized (×√252)   (92nd pct of own history, since 2000 (6482 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  1.40× (3.627% vs 2.593% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-28)
    ATR(14)    0.1776
    ATR%        4.28%   (85th pct of own history, since 2000 (6488 obs))
    range/ATR   65.0%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-28)
    high        4.8353   (-14.15% from high)
    low         2.0469   (+102.79% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-28)
    RSI(14)     63.22   (83rd pct of own history, since 2000 (6488 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-28)
     5d return  +0.59%
    20d return  +24.59%
    60d return  +0.30%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       2.4954%   (from 2000-09-01)
    ZIRP-2009        1.8946%
    tightening-2015  1.9779%
    ZIRP-2019        2.5190%
    tightening-2022  3.1570%
    easing-2024      2.5933%