Heating Oil: 20-day return +29.52% (99th pct)

On 2026-07-31, Heating Oil closed at 4.1215 USD/gal, down 2.09% on the day. It trades at 74.4% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 57.73 is in the 70th percentile of its history since 2000, and its 20-day return of +29.52% in the 99th percentile. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 3.9572 / 3.6627 / 3.1271 USD/gal, with price +4.15% / +12.53% / +31.80% against them. Its 52-week range is 2.0469–4.8353 USD/gal; it closed 14.76% below the high and 101.35% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.806% daily, in the 93rd percentile of its history since 2000. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.1851 USD/gal, 4.49% of price. It has returned -1.41% over 5 days and +2.27% over 60 days.

=== HEATING OIL  (USD/gal) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-31, prior 2026-07-30)
    close       4.1215
    change      -0.0879  (-2.088%)
  range            (as of 2026-07-31)
    range       0.2071
    close pos   8.1% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-31)
     20d MA     3.9572   price above by +4.15%
     50d MA     3.6627   price above by +12.53%
    200d MA     3.1271   price above by +31.80%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-31)
    20d stdev   3.806% daily ≈ 60.4% annualized (×√252)   (93rd pct of own history, since 2000 (6485 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  1.46× (3.806% vs 2.601% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-31)
    ATR(14)    0.1851
    ATR%        4.49%   (87th pct of own history, since 2000 (6491 obs))
    range/ATR   111.9%
  relative volume  [as of 2026-07-29 · 2d behind 2026-07-31]
    RVOL        0.47x  (volume vs its 20-day average)
    pctile      7th pct of own history, since 2000 (6468 obs)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-31)
    high        4.8353   (-14.76% from high)
    low         2.0469   (+101.35% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-31)
    RSI(14)     57.73   (70th pct of own history, since 2000 (6491 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-31)
     5d return  -1.41%
    20d return  +29.52%
    60d return  +2.27%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       2.4954%   (from 2000-09-01)
    ZIRP-2009        1.8946%
    tightening-2015  1.9779%
    ZIRP-2019        2.5190%
    tightening-2022  3.1570%
    easing-2024      2.6010%