USD/CAD — 2026-06-25

Daily snapshot for USD/CAD on 2026-06-25: price level, daily change, moving averages, RSI(14), ATR, 52-week range position, positioning, and the central-bank decision horizon. Facts only — reporting, not advice.

=== USD/CAD  (pip 0.0001) ===
  >> close 1.42356  +0.183%   · RSI(14) 84.86 (100th pct, since 2003) while price > all MAs
     cross-signal: signals align USD/CAD up: RSI(14), 52wk position, 20d return, positioning net%OI, daily %
  price & change   (as of 2026-06-25, prior 2026-06-24)
    close       1.42356
    change      +0.00260  (+0.183%, +26.0 pips)
    gap         +0.00206  (+20.6 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-06-25)
    range       0.00244  (24.4 pips)
    close pos   68.0% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-06-25)
     20d MA     1.39902   price above by +1.75%
     50d MA     1.38146   price above by +3.05%
    200d MA     1.38298   price above by +2.93%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 200d > 50d
  volatility       (as of 2026-06-25)
    20d stdev   0.237% daily
  ATR              (as of 2026-06-25)
    ATR(14)    0.00620  (62.0 pips)
    ATR%        0.44%
    range/ATR   39.3%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-06-25)
    high        1.42471   (-0.08% from high)
    low         1.34840   (+5.57% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-06-25)
    RSI(14)     84.86
  returns          (as of 2026-06-25)
     5d return  +0.96%
    20d return  +2.84%
    60d return  +2.59%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.6422%
    ZIRP-2009        0.5827%
    tightening-2015  0.4850%
    ZIRP-2019        0.4557%
    tightening-2022  0.4399%
    easing-2024      0.3306%
  positioning      (as of 2026-06-16)  (predates 2026-06-17 FOMC)
    net         -65,053 contracts (net short CAD)
    net % OI    -13.2%
    net%OI range -31.9% … -6.8% (own 129w)
    w/w change  -6,430
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-06-24)
    vs DXY      +0.53
    vs S&P 500  -0.21
    vs DXY beta +0.49 (26w)