FX Daily — 2026-06-26

FX daily report for reference date 2026-06-26. Covers 11 instruments with daily price action, momentum (RSI), volatility (ATR), 52-week range position, positioning, and the central-bank decision horizon. Facts only — reporting, not advice.

CROSS-PAIR SNAPSHOT  (as of 2026-06-26, config order)

           close   day %    RSI (pct)   52wk  20d ret (pct)  pos net%OI (pct)
EUR/USD  1.13617  +0.07%   26.0 (2nd)   5.2%  -2.50% (13th)      -2.0% (41st)
GBP/USD  1.31879  +0.16%  35.0 (11th)  21.1%  -1.91% (20th)      +2.5% (23rd)
USD/JPY  161.805  +0.03%  74.7 (97th)  99.2%  +1.59% (72nd)     -22.5% (25th)
USD/CHF  0.81052  -0.25%  69.4 (96th)  88.0%  +3.43% (93rd)     -12.7% (41st)
AUD/USD  0.69005  +0.01%   27.5 (2nd)  56.3%  -3.68% (10th)     +18.2% (82nd)
USD/CAD  1.42006  -0.24%  77.6 (99th)  93.8%  +3.03% (93rd)     -24.3% (30th)
NZD/USD  0.56433  -0.02%   27.7 (2nd)  11.6%   -5.09% (6th)      -22.1% (9th)
EUR/GBP  0.86133  -0.13%  40.2 (19th)   6.4%  -0.59% (37th)      -6.3% (88th)
EUR/HUF  352.644  -0.73%  45.9 (37th)   7.9%  -0.41% (41st)
USD/HUF  310.886  -0.55%  57.8 (74th)  21.2%  +2.31% (76th)
GBP/HUF   410.01  -0.46%  50.1 (51st)  11.3%  +0.36% (54th)
CHANGES (vs prior session)
  USD/CHF  RSI 69.4 — crossed below 70 (overbought boundary)
NOTABLE TODAY  (most extreme vs each pair's own history; surprise = distance from each pair's own median — a deep-oversold reading scores as high as a deep-overbought one — not a trading signal)
  USD/JPY  52wk position 99.2% of range (52wk)                    · surprise  98
  USD/CAD  RSI(14) 77.64                (99th pct, since 2003)    · surprise  98
  EUR/USD  RSI(14) 26.01                (2nd pct, since 2003)     · surprise  96
  NZD/USD  RSI(14) 27.67                (2nd pct, since 2003)     · surprise  96
  AUD/USD  RSI(14) 27.49                (2nd pct, since 2006)     · surprise  96
  USD/CHF  RSI(14) 69.42                (96th pct, since 2003)    · surprise  92
market risk (VIX)  (as of 2026-06-29)
  level       18.42
  1yr range   13.47 … 31.05 (252d)
=== CENTRAL BANK HORIZON (for pairs at historical extremes) ===
  (days remaining from reference date 2026-06-26)
  >> RBNZ  2026-07-08  (12 days)   · cross-link: NZD/USD (RSI(14) 2nd pct)
  >> BoC   2026-07-15  (19 days)   · cross-link: USD/CAD (RSI(14) 99th pct)
  >> ECB   2026-07-23  (27 days)   · cross-link: EUR/USD (RSI(14) 2nd pct)
  >> Fed   2026-07-29  (33 days)   · cross-link: EUR/USD (RSI(14) 2nd pct), USD/JPY (52wk position 99.2% of range), USD/CHF (RSI(14) 96th pct), AUD/USD (RSI(14) 2nd pct), USD/CAD (RSI(14) 99th pct), NZD/USD (RSI(14) 2nd pct)
  >> BoJ   2026-07-31  (35 days)   · cross-link: USD/JPY (52wk position 99.2% of range)
  >> RBA   2026-08-11  (46 days)   · cross-link: AUD/USD (RSI(14) 2nd pct)
  >> SNB   2026-09-24  (90 days)   · cross-link: USD/CHF (RSI(14) 96th pct)