On 2026-06-29, EUR/USD closed at 1.13856, up 0.21% on the day. It trades at 8.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 30.62 is in the 4th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of -2.26% in the 15th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -2.0% of open interest, in the 41st percentile of its own two-year range.
=== EUR/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.13856 +0.210% · RSI(14) 30.62 (4th pct, since 2003) while price < all MAs
cross-signal: signals split — daily % up / RSI(14) down · 52wk position down · 20d return down · positioning net%OI down
price & change (as of 2026-06-29, prior 2026-06-26)
close 1.13856
change +0.00239 (+0.210%, +23.9 pips)
gap +0.00228 (+22.8 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-06-29)
range 0.00443 (44.3 pips)
close pos 8.8% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-06-29)
20d MA 1.15161 price below by -1.13%
50d MA 1.16207 price below by -2.02%
200d MA 1.16623 price below by -2.37%
price < all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-06-29)
20d stdev 0.318% daily
ATR (as of 2026-06-29)
ATR(14) 0.00680 (68.0 pips)
ATR% 0.60%
range/ATR 65.1%
52-week range (as of 2026-06-29)
high 1.20236 (-5.31% from high)
low 1.13254 (+0.53% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-06-29)
RSI(14) 30.62
returns (as of 2026-06-29)
5d return -0.67%
20d return -2.26%
60d return -1.08%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.0543%
ZIRP-2009 0.6640%
tightening-2015 0.4886%
ZIRP-2019 0.3870%
tightening-2022 0.5496%
easing-2024 0.4343%
positioning (as of 2026-06-23)
net -15,410 contracts (net short EUR)
net % OI -2.0%
net%OI range -7.8% … +6.5% (own 130w)
w/w change -6,484
rate differential (US–EU policy)
US (FEDFUNDS) 3.63% (as of 2026-05-01) (predates 2026-06-17 FOMC)
next FOMC 2026-07-29 (30 days)
EU (ECBMRRFR) 2.40% (as of 2026-06-30)
differential withheld — US rate predates 2026-06-17 FOMC
10Y yield spread (US–EU)
US (DGS10) 4.38% (as of 2026-06-26)
EU (euro-area AAA 10Y) 2.92% (as of 2026-06-29)
spread +1.46%
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-06-29)
vs DXY -0.83
vs S&P 500 +0.35
vs DXY beta -0.81 (26w)