EUR/GBP: RSI 25.60 (1st pct)

On 2026-07-09, EUR/GBP closed at 0.85249, down 0.20% on the day. It trades at 2.3% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 25.60 is in the 1st percentile of its history since 1999, and its 20-day return of -1.23% in the 24th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -1.2% of open interest, in the 97th percentile of its own two-year range.

=== EUR/GBP  (pip 0.0001) ===
  >> close 0.85249  -0.204%   · price < all MAs; RSI(14) 25.60 (1st pct, since 1999 (7142 obs))
     cross-signal: flow signals align EUR/GBP down: 20d return, daily %
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-09, prior 2026-07-08)
    close       0.85249
    change      -0.00174  (-0.204%, -17.4 pips)
    gap         -0.00175  (-17.5 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-07-09)
    range       0.00227  (22.7 pips)
    close pos   34.8% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-09)
     20d MA     0.86095   price below by -0.98%
     50d MA     0.86348   price below by -1.27%
    200d MA     0.86948   price below by -1.95%
    price < all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-09)
    20d stdev   0.221% daily ≈ 3.5% annualized (×√252)   (5th pct of own history, since 1999 (7136 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.82× (0.221% vs 0.270% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-09)
    ATR(14)    0.00299  (29.9 pips)
    ATR%        0.35%   (1st pct of own history, since 1999 (7142 obs))
    range/ATR   75.8%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-09)
    high        0.88653   (-3.84% from high)
    low         0.85170   (+0.09% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-09)
    RSI(14)     25.60   (1st pct of own history, since 1999 (7142 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-09)
     5d return  -0.47%
    20d return  -1.23%
    60d return  -1.99%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.4968%   (from 1999-01-04)
    ZIRP-2009        0.5520%
    tightening-2015  0.5609%
    ZIRP-2019        0.4735%
    tightening-2022  0.8002%
    easing-2024      0.2700%
  positioning      (as of 2026-07-07)
    next COT     as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
    net         -468 contracts (net short EUR/GBP)
    source      standalone EUR/GBP cross future (own OI, not EUR/GBP majors)
    net % OI    -1.2%
    net%OI range -53.5% … +0.1% (own 132w)
    w/w change  -219
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-09)
    vs DXY      -0.05
    vs S&P 500  +0.24
    vs DXY beta -0.03 (26w)