On 2026-07-10, GBP/USD closed at 1.34156, up 0.14% on the day. It trades at 48.4% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 57.97 is in the 74th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +0.01% in the 49th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net +6.4% of open interest, in the 34th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1.33018 / 1.33971 / 1.33971, with price +0.86% / +0.14% / +0.14% against them. Its 52-week range is 1.30117–1.38468; it closed 3.11% below the high and 3.10% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.378% daily, in the 17th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00792 (79.2 pips), 0.59% of price. It has returned +0.58% over 5 days and -0.82% over 60 days.
=== GBP/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.34156 +0.145%
price & change (as of 2026-07-10, prior 2026-07-09)
close 1.34156
change +0.00194 (+0.145%, +19.4 pips)
gap +0.00176 (+17.6 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-10)
range 0.00505 (50.5 pips)
close pos 28.5% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-10)
20d MA 1.33018 price above by +0.86%
50d MA 1.33971 price above by +0.14%
200d MA 1.33971 price above by +0.14%
price > all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-10)
20d stdev 0.378% daily ≈ 6.0% annualized (×√252) (17th pct of own history, since 2003 (5841 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.87× (0.378% vs 0.433% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-10)
ATR(14) 0.00792 (79.2 pips)
ATR% 0.59% (6th pct of own history, since 2003 (5847 obs))
range/ATR 63.8%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-10)
high 1.38468 (-3.11% from high)
low 1.30117 (+3.10% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-10)
RSI(14) 57.97 (74th pct of own history, since 2003 (5847 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-10)
5d return +0.58%
20d return +0.01%
60d return -0.82%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.6129% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.5765%
tightening-2015 0.6404%
ZIRP-2019 0.5553%
tightening-2022 0.6549%
easing-2024 0.4329%
positioning (as of 2026-07-07)
next COT as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net +17,979 contracts (net long GBP)
net % OI +6.4%
net%OI range -5.4% … +29.1% (own 132w)
w/w change +1,706
rate differential (GBP–USD policy)
GBP (BOE_BANK_RATE) 3.75% (as of 2026-07-09, official Bank Rate)
next BoE 2026-07-30 (20 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.62% (as of 2026-07-09, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-07-29 (19 days)
differential +0.13% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-10)
vs DXY -0.70
vs S&P 500 +0.24
vs DXY beta -0.76 (26w)