EUR/GBP: RSI 28.60 (2nd pct)

On 2026-07-14, EUR/GBP closed at 0.85272, up 0.10% on the day. It trades at 5.1% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 28.60 is in the 2nd percentile of its history since 1999, and its 20-day return of -1.31% in the 22nd percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -1.2% of open interest, in the 97th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 0.85932 / 0.86282 / 0.86919, with price -0.77% / -1.17% / -1.89% against them. Its 52-week range is 0.8509–0.88653; it closed 3.81% below the high and 0.21% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.219% daily, in the 5th percentile of its history since 1999. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00287 (28.7 pips), 0.34% of price. It has returned -0.17% over 5 days and -2.08% over 60 days.

=== EUR/GBP  (pip 0.0001) ===
  >> close 0.85272  +0.096%   · price < all MAs; RSI(14) 28.60 (2nd pct, since 1999 (7145 obs))
     cross-signal: flow signals split — daily % up / 20d return down
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-14, prior 2026-07-13)
    close       0.85272
    change      +0.00082  (+0.096%, +8.2 pips)
    gap         +0.00076  (+7.6 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-07-14)
    range       0.00280  (28.0 pips)
    close pos   40.0% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-14)
     20d MA     0.85932   price below by -0.77%
     50d MA     0.86282   price below by -1.17%
    200d MA     0.86919   price below by -1.89%
    price < all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-14)
    20d stdev   0.219% daily ≈ 3.5% annualized (×√252)   (5th pct of own history, since 1999 (7139 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.81× (0.219% vs 0.269% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-14)
    ATR(14)    0.00287  (28.7 pips)
    ATR%        0.34%   (1st pct of own history, since 1999 (7145 obs))
    range/ATR   97.7%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-14)
    high        0.88653   (-3.81% from high)
    low         0.85090   (+0.21% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-14)
    RSI(14)     28.60   (2nd pct of own history, since 1999 (7145 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-14)
     5d return  -0.17%
    20d return  -1.31%
    60d return  -2.08%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.4968%   (from 1999-01-04)
    ZIRP-2009        0.5520%
    tightening-2015  0.5609%
    ZIRP-2019        0.4735%
    tightening-2022  0.8002%
    easing-2024      0.2694%
  positioning      (as of 2026-07-07)
    next COT     as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
    net         -468 contracts (net short EUR/GBP)
    source      standalone EUR/GBP cross future (own OI, not EUR/GBP majors)
    net % OI    -1.2%
    net%OI range -53.5% … +0.1% (own 132w)
    w/w change  -219
  rate differential (EUR–GBP policy)
    EUR (ECB_DFR)         2.25%  (set 2026-06-17, deposit-facility floor)
    next ECB              2026-07-23  (9 days)
    GBP (BOE_BANK_RATE)   3.75%  (as of 2026-07-13, official Bank Rate)
    next BoE              2026-07-30  (16 days)
    differential    -1.50%  (base−quote)
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-14)
    vs DXY      -0.06
    vs S&P 500  +0.22
    vs DXY beta -0.03 (26w)