EUR/HUF: RSI 70.12 (96th pct)

On 2026-07-20, EUR/HUF closed at 362.764, up 0.29% on the day. It trades at 27.4% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 70.12 is in the 96th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +3.51% in the 95th percentile. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 355.419 / 354.861 / 374.459, with price +2.07% / +2.23% / -3.12% against them. Its 52-week range is 348.505–400.487; it closed 9.42% below the high and 4.09% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.448% daily, in the 55th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 3.781 (378.1 pips), 1.04% of price. It has returned +1.78% over 5 days and -0.61% over 60 days.

=== EUR/HUF  (pip 0.01) ===
  >> close 362.764  +0.289%   · RSI(14) 70.12 (96th pct, since 2003 (5846 obs))
     cross-signal: flow signals align EUR/HUF up: 20d return, daily %
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-20, prior 2026-07-17)
    close       362.764
    change      +1.047  (+0.289%, +104.7 pips)
    gap         +1.478  (+147.8 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-07-20)
    range       3.239  (323.9 pips)
    close pos   85.1% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-20)
     20d MA     355.419   price above by +2.07%
     50d MA     354.861   price above by +2.23%
    200d MA     374.459   price below by -3.12%
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 200d > 20d > 50d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-20)
    20d stdev   0.448% daily ≈ 7.1% annualized (×√252)   (55th pct of own history, since 2003 (5840 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  1.11× (0.448% vs 0.403% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-20)
    ATR(14)    3.781  (378.1 pips)
    ATR%        1.04%   (72nd pct of own history, since 2003 (5846 obs))
    range/ATR   85.7%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-20)
    high        400.487   (-9.42% from high)
    low         348.505   (+4.09% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-20)
    RSI(14)     70.12   (96th pct of own history, since 2003 (5846 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-20)
     5d return  +1.78%
    20d return  +3.51%
    60d return  -0.61%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.6093%   (from 2003-12-01)
    ZIRP-2009        0.6506%
    tightening-2015  0.2723%
    ZIRP-2019        0.3871%
    tightening-2022  0.7143%
    easing-2024      0.4028%
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-20)
    vs DXY      +0.53
    vs S&P 500  -0.64
    vs DXY beta +0.82 (26w)