On 2026-07-30, USD/CAD closed at 1.40358, down 0.50% on the day. It trades at 72.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 42.31 is in the 26th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of -1.28% in the 26th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -26.9% of open interest, in the 20th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1.41146 / 1.4043 / 1.38548, with price -0.56% / -0.05% / +1.31% against them. Its 52-week range is 1.3484–1.42478; it closed 1.49% below the high and 4.09% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.241% daily, in the 5th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00595 (59.5 pips), 0.42% of price. It has returned -0.35% over 5 days and +2.93% over 60 days.
=== USD/CAD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.40358 -0.498%
price & change (as of 2026-07-30, prior 2026-07-29)
close 1.40358
change -0.00703 (-0.498%, -70.3 pips)
gap -0.00701 (-70.1 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-30)
range 0.00658 (65.8 pips)
close pos 52.6% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-30)
20d MA 1.41146 price below by -0.56%
50d MA 1.40430 price below by -0.05%
200d MA 1.38548 price above by +1.31%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-30)
20d stdev 0.241% daily ≈ 3.8% annualized (×√252) (5th pct of own history, since 2003 (5925 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.74× (0.241% vs 0.327% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-30)
ATR(14) 0.00595 (59.5 pips)
ATR% 0.42% (3rd pct of own history, since 2003 (5931 obs))
range/ATR 110.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-30)
high 1.42478 (-1.49% from high)
low 1.34840 (+4.09% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-30)
RSI(14) 42.31 (26th pct of own history, since 2003 (5931 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-30)
5d return -0.35%
20d return -1.28%
60d return +2.93%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.6422% (from 2003-09-17)
ZIRP-2009 0.5827%
tightening-2015 0.4850%
ZIRP-2019 0.4557%
tightening-2022 0.4399%
easing-2024 0.3273%
positioning (as of 2026-07-21) (predates 2026-07-29 FOMC)
next COT as of 2026-07-28 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -98,377 contracts (net short CAD; = long USD in USD/CAD terms)
net % OI -26.9%
net%OI range -31.9% … -6.8% (own 134w)
w/w change -5,606
rate differential (USD–CAD policy)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-07-30, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (48 days)
CAD (BOC_TARGET) 2.25% (as of 2026-07-30, announced target)
next BoC 2026-09-02 (34 days)
differential +1.38% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-30)
vs DXY +0.45
vs S&P 500 -0.26
vs DXY beta +0.35 (26w)