On 2026-07-30, USD/JPY closed at 163.3, down 0.34% on the day. It trades at 96.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 60.87 is in the 78th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +0.47% in the 55th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.7% of open interest, in the 25th percentile of its own two-year range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 162.642 / 161.356 / 157.858, with price +0.40% / +1.20% / +3.45% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–163.979; it closed 0.41% below the high and 11.68% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.278% daily, in the 5th percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1.026 (102.6 pips), 0.63% of price. It has returned +0.13% over 5 days and +4.34% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 163.300 -0.344% · 52wk position 96.2% of range (52wk)
price & change (as of 2026-07-30, prior 2026-07-29)
close 163.300
change -0.564 (-0.344%, -56.4 pips)
gap -0.611 (-61.1 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-30)
range 5.739 (573.9 pips)
close pos 92.5% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-30)
20d MA 162.642 price above by +0.40%
50d MA 161.356 price above by +1.20%
200d MA 157.858 price above by +3.45%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-30)
20d stdev 0.278% daily ≈ 4.4% annualized (×√252) (5th pct of own history, since 1996 (7684 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.47× (0.278% vs 0.590% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-30)
ATR(14) 1.026 (102.6 pips)
ATR% 0.63% (13th pct of own history, since 1996 (7690 obs))
range/ATR 559.6%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-30)
high 163.979 (-0.41% from high)
low 146.217 (+11.68% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-30)
RSI(14) 60.87 (78th pct of own history, since 1996 (7690 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-30)
5d return +0.13%
20d return +0.47%
60d return +4.34%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5896%
positioning (as of 2026-07-21) (predates 2026-07-29 FOMC)
next COT as of 2026-07-28 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -96,185 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -22.7%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 134w)
w/w change -5,724
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-30)
vs DXY +0.60
vs S&P 500 -0.13
vs DXY beta +0.71 (26w)