On 2026-08-04, GBP/USD closed at 1.3427, down 0.48% on the day. It trades at 49.7% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 53.77 is in the 62nd percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +0.22% in the 53rd percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net +15.4% of open interest, at 60% of its own two-year positioning range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1.33967 / 1.33632 / 1.33975, with price +0.23% / +0.48% / +0.22% against them. Its 52-week range is 1.30117–1.38468; it closed 3.03% below the high and 3.19% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.446% daily, in the 34th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00865 (86.5 pips), 0.64% of price. It has returned +1.03% over 5 days and -1.31% over 60 days.
=== GBP/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.34270 -0.479%
price & change (as of 2026-08-04, prior 2026-08-03)
close 1.34270
change -0.00646 (-0.479%, -64.6 pips)
gap -0.00636 (-63.6 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-04)
range 0.00371 (37.1 pips)
close pos 18.9% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-04)
20d MA 1.33967 price above by +0.23%
50d MA 1.33632 price above by +0.48%
200d MA 1.33975 price above by +0.22%
price > all MAs
stack: 200d > 20d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-04)
20d stdev 0.446% daily ≈ 7.1% annualized (×√252) (34th pct of own history, since 2003 (5858 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.03× (0.446% vs 0.433% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-04)
ATR(14) 0.00865 (86.5 pips)
ATR% 0.64% (13th pct of own history, since 2003 (5864 obs))
range/ATR 42.9%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-04)
high 1.38468 (-3.03% from high)
low 1.30117 (+3.19% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-04)
RSI(14) 53.77 (62nd pct of own history, since 2003 (5864 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-04)
5d return +1.03%
20d return +0.22%
60d return -1.31%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.6129% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.5765%
tightening-2015 0.6404%
ZIRP-2019 0.5553%
tightening-2022 0.6549%
easing-2024 0.4335%
positioning (as of 2026-07-28) (predates 2026-07-29 FOMC)
next COT as of 2026-08-04 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net +41,097 contracts (net long GBP)
net % OI +15.4%
net%OI range -5.4% … +29.1% (own 135w)
w/w change +7,861
rate differential (GBP–USD policy)
GBP (BOE_BANK_RATE) 3.75% (as of 2026-08-04, official Bank Rate)
next BoE 2026-09-17 (44 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-08-04, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (43 days)
differential +0.12% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-04)
vs DXY -0.78
vs S&P 500 +0.28
vs DXY beta -0.70 (26w)