On 2026-08-06, NZD/USD closed at 0.58875, up 0.19% on the day. It trades at 59.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 62.29 is in the 84th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +3.00% in the 83rd percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -28.6% of open interest, at 0% of its own two-year positioning range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 0.58227 / 0.57919 / 0.58259, with price +1.11% / +1.65% / +1.06% against them. Its 52-week range is 0.55842–0.60933; it closed 3.38% below the high and 5.43% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.501% daily, in the 20th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00476 (47.6 pips), 0.81% of price. It has returned +1.46% over 5 days and -0.75% over 60 days.
=== NZD/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 0.58875 +0.191% · price > all MAs; positioning net%OI -28.6% (near bottom of own 135w range (band bottoms at -28.6%))
cross-signal: flow signals align NZD/USD up: 20d return, daily %
price & change (as of 2026-08-06, prior 2026-08-05)
close 0.58875
change +0.00112 (+0.191%, +11.2 pips)
gap +0.00103 (+10.3 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-06)
range 0.00304 (30.4 pips)
close pos 73.0% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-06)
20d MA 0.58227 price above by +1.11%
50d MA 0.57919 price above by +1.65%
200d MA 0.58259 price above by +1.06%
price > all MAs
stack: 200d > 20d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-06)
20d stdev 0.501% daily ≈ 8.0% annualized (×√252) (20th pct of own history, since 2003 (5846 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.84× (0.501% vs 0.595% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-06)
ATR(14) 0.00476 (47.6 pips)
ATR% 0.81% (15th pct of own history, since 2003 (5852 obs))
range/ATR 63.8%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-06)
high 0.60933 (-3.38% from high)
low 0.55842 (+5.43% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-06)
RSI(14) 62.29 (84th pct of own history, since 2003 (5852 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-06)
5d return +1.46%
20d return +3.00%
60d return -0.75%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.9269% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.8375%
tightening-2015 0.6352%
ZIRP-2019 0.6132%
tightening-2022 0.7299%
easing-2024 0.5946%
positioning (as of 2026-07-28) (predates 2026-07-29 FOMC)
next COT as of 2026-08-04 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -30,027 contracts (net short NZD)
net % OI -28.6%
net%OI range -28.6% … +28.5% (own 135w)
w/w change +1,059
rate differential (NZD–USD policy)
NZD (RBNZ_OCR) 2.50% (set 2026-07-08, announced target)
next RBNZ 2026-09-02 (27 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-08-05, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (41 days)
differential -1.13% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-06)
vs DXY -0.78
vs S&P 500 +0.46
vs DXY beta -1.07 (26w)