On 2026-08-07, USD/CAD closed at 1.40137, up 0.03% on the day. It trades at 69.4% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 41.97 is in the 25th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of -1.05% in the 30th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -27.9% of open interest, at 16% of its own two-year positioning range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1.40658 / 1.40699 / 1.3856, with price -0.37% / -0.40% / +1.14% against them. Its 52-week range is 1.3484–1.42478; it closed 1.64% below the high and 3.93% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.259% daily, in the 7th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.0063 (63 pips), 0.45% of price. It has returned +0.02% over 5 days and +2.11% over 60 days.
=== USD/CAD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.40137 +0.025%
price & change (as of 2026-08-07, prior 2026-08-06)
close 1.40137
change +0.00035 (+0.025%, +3.5 pips)
gap +0.00044 (+4.4 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-07)
range 0.01018 (101.8 pips)
close pos 85.4% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-07)
20d MA 1.40658 price below by -0.37%
50d MA 1.40699 price below by -0.40%
200d MA 1.38560 price above by +1.14%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-07)
20d stdev 0.259% daily ≈ 4.1% annualized (×√252) (7th pct of own history, since 2003 (5931 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.79× (0.259% vs 0.326% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-07)
ATR(14) 0.00630 (63.0 pips)
ATR% 0.45% (5th pct of own history, since 2003 (5937 obs))
range/ATR 161.6%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-07)
high 1.42478 (-1.64% from high)
low 1.34840 (+3.93% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-07)
RSI(14) 41.97 (25th pct of own history, since 2003 (5937 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-07)
5d return +0.02%
20d return -1.05%
60d return +2.11%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.6422% (from 2003-09-17)
ZIRP-2009 0.5827%
tightening-2015 0.4850%
ZIRP-2019 0.4557%
tightening-2022 0.4399%
easing-2024 0.3265%
positioning (as of 2026-08-04)
next COT as of 2026-08-11 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -101,748 contracts (net short CAD; = long USD in USD/CAD terms)
net % OI -27.9%
net%OI range -31.9% … -6.8% (own 136w)
w/w change +747
rate differential (USD–CAD policy)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-08-06, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (40 days)
CAD (BOC_TARGET) 2.25% (as of 2026-08-06, announced target)
next BoC 2026-09-02 (26 days)
differential +1.38% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-07)
vs DXY +0.46
vs S&P 500 -0.28
vs DXY beta +0.32 (26w)