FX daily report for reference date 2026-08-07. Covers 11 instruments with daily price action, momentum (RSI), volatility (ATR), 52-week range position, positioning, and the central-bank decision horizon. Facts only — reporting, not advice.
CROSS-PAIR SNAPSHOT (as of 2026-08-07, config order)
close day % RSI (pct) 52wk 20d ret (pct) pos net%OI (band)
EUR/USD 1.15247 -0.28% 57.4 (73rd) 28.5% +0.80% (64th) -6.5% (10% of range)
GBP/USD 1.34553 -0.11% 55.5 (67th) 53.1% +0.30% (54th) +15.5% (60% of range)
USD/JPY 158.409 +0.51% 33.1 (6th) 68.6% -2.44% (16th) -14.5% (43% of range)
USD/CHF 0.81241 +0.71% 54.1 (65th) 86.0% +0.73% (65th) -9.2% (52% of range)
AUD/USD 0.70334 -0.34% 55.2 (65th) 71.7% +1.28% (67th) +16.9% (79% of range)
USD/CAD 1.40137 +0.03% 42.0 (25th) 69.4% -1.05% (30th) -27.9% (16% of range)
NZD/USD 0.58683 -0.33% 58.6 (75th) 55.8% +1.84% (72nd) -29.7% (0% of range)
EUR/GBP 0.85648 -0.18% 51.2 (56th) 24.4% +0.49% (63rd) +1.9% (100% of range)
EUR/HUF 364.549 +0.92% 62.1 (85th) 31.4% +2.33% (88th)
USD/HUF 316.703 +1.29% 56.5 (70th) 35.5% +1.52% (68th)
GBP/HUF 426.24 +1.23% 60.8 (82nd) 39.5% +1.83% (74th)CHANGES (vs prior session) USD/JPY RSI 33.1 — crossed above 30 (oversold boundary)
NOTABLE TODAY (most extreme vs each pair's own history; surprise = how far the reading sits from the pair's own median, 0–100 [0 = at median, 100 = an own-history extreme; = 2×|percentile − 50|] — symmetric, so a deep-oversold reading scores as high as a deep-overbought one — a magnitude, not a trading signal) NZD/USD positioning net%OI -29.7% (near bottom of own 136w range (band bottoms at -29.7%)) · surprise 100 EUR/GBP positioning net%OI +1.9% (near top of own 136w range (band tops at +1.9%)) · surprise 100
market risk (VIX) (as of 2026-08-07) level 14.90 change -0.25 (-1.7%) (prior 2026-08-06) 1yr range 13.47 … 31.05 (252d) 1yr pctile 8th pctile (252d lookback)
dollar index (DXY) (as of 2026-08-07) (index close is async vs the pairs' UTC snapshot; daily change may not reconcile with the pairs below) level 99.600 change -0.370 (-0.37%) (prior 2026-08-06) 1yr range 96.220 … 101.610 (252d) 1yr pctile 73rd pctile (252d lookback) 200d MA 99.166 price above by +0.44%
DOLLAR CROWDING (weekly-return correlation to DXY, 26w; how much of the book is one dollar trade — async daily closes cap the magnitude) 6 of 11 pairs correlate |≥ 0.60| to DXY this week EUR/USD -0.85 GBP/USD -0.78 NZD/USD -0.77 USD/CHF +0.72 USD/HUF +0.69 USD/JPY +0.69 AUD/USD -0.51 EUR/HUF +0.50 USD/CAD +0.46 GBP/HUF +0.44 EUR/GBP -0.02
equity market (S&P 500) (as of 2026-08-07) level 7757.64 change +47.68 (+0.62%) (prior 2026-08-06) 1yr range 6340.00 … 7757.64 (252d) 1yr pctile 100th pctile (252d lookback) 200d MA 7050.03 price above by +10.04%
=== CENTRAL BANK HORIZON (for pairs at historical extremes) === (days remaining from reference date 2026-08-07) >> RBNZ 2026-09-02 (26 days) · cross-link: NZD/USD (positioning net%OI near bottom of own 136w range (band bottoms at -29.7%)) >> ECB 2026-09-10 (34 days) · cross-link: EUR/GBP (positioning net%OI near top of own 136w range (band tops at +1.9%)) >> Fed 2026-09-16 (40 days) · cross-link: NZD/USD (positioning net%OI near bottom of own 136w range (band bottoms at -29.7%)) >> BoE 2026-09-17 (41 days) · cross-link: EUR/GBP (positioning net%OI near top of own 136w range (band tops at +1.9%))