On 2026-08-07, NZD/USD closed at 0.58683, down 0.33% on the day. It trades at 55.8% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 58.58 is in the 75th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +1.84% in the 72nd percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -29.7% of open interest, at 0% of its own two-year positioning range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 0.5828 / 0.57903 / 0.58264, with price +0.69% / +1.35% / +0.72% against them. Its 52-week range is 0.55842–0.60933; it closed 3.69% below the high and 5.09% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.486% daily, in the 17th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00473 (47.3 pips), 0.81% of price. It has returned -0.12% over 5 days and -0.60% over 60 days.
=== NZD/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 0.58683 -0.326% · price > all MAs; positioning net%OI -29.7% (near bottom of own 136w range (band bottoms at -29.7%))
cross-signal: flow signals split — 20d return up / daily % down
price & change (as of 2026-08-07, prior 2026-08-06)
close 0.58683
change -0.00192 (-0.326%, -19.2 pips)
gap -0.00200 (-20.0 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-07)
range 0.00436 (43.6 pips)
close pos 11.7% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-07)
20d MA 0.58280 price above by +0.69%
50d MA 0.57903 price above by +1.35%
200d MA 0.58264 price above by +0.72%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 200d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-07)
20d stdev 0.486% daily ≈ 7.7% annualized (×√252) (17th pct of own history, since 2003 (5847 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.82× (0.486% vs 0.594% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-07)
ATR(14) 0.00473 (47.3 pips)
ATR% 0.81% (15th pct of own history, since 2003 (5853 obs))
range/ATR 92.1%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-07)
high 0.60933 (-3.69% from high)
low 0.55842 (+5.09% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-07)
RSI(14) 58.58 (75th pct of own history, since 2003 (5853 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-07)
5d return -0.12%
20d return +1.84%
60d return -0.60%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.9269% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.8375%
tightening-2015 0.6352%
ZIRP-2019 0.6132%
tightening-2022 0.7299%
easing-2024 0.5943%
positioning (as of 2026-08-04)
next COT as of 2026-08-11 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -30,290 contracts (net short NZD)
net % OI -29.7%
net%OI range -29.7% … +28.5% (own 136w)
w/w change -263
rate differential (NZD–USD policy)
NZD (RBNZ_OCR) 2.50% (set 2026-07-08, announced target)
next RBNZ 2026-09-02 (26 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-08-06, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (40 days)
differential -1.13% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-07)
vs DXY -0.77
vs S&P 500 +0.43
vs DXY beta -1.07 (26w)