On 2026-08-07, USD/JPY closed at 158.409, up 0.51% on the day. It trades at 68.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 33.07 is in the 6th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of -2.44% in the 16th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -14.5% of open interest, at 43% of its own two-year positioning range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 161.479 / 161.236 / 158.034, with price -1.90% / -1.75% / +0.24% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–163.979; it closed 3.40% below the high and 8.34% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.611% daily, in the 59th percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1.405 (140.5 pips), 0.89% of price. It has returned -1.11% over 5 days and +0.02% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 158.409 +0.513%
price & change (as of 2026-08-07, prior 2026-08-06)
close 158.409
change +0.809 (+0.513%, +80.9 pips)
gap +0.848 (+84.8 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-07)
range 1.730 (173.0 pips)
close pos 91.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-07)
20d MA 161.479 price below by -1.90%
50d MA 161.236 price below by -1.75%
200d MA 158.034 price above by +0.24%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-07)
20d stdev 0.611% daily ≈ 9.7% annualized (×√252) (59th pct of own history, since 1996 (7690 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.03× (0.611% vs 0.595% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-07)
ATR(14) 1.405 (140.5 pips)
ATR% 0.89% (47th pct of own history, since 1996 (7696 obs))
range/ATR 123.1%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-07)
high 163.979 (-3.40% from high)
low 146.217 (+8.34% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-07)
RSI(14) 33.07 (6th pct of own history, since 1996 (7696 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-07)
5d return -1.11%
20d return -2.44%
60d return +0.02%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5953%
positioning (as of 2026-08-04)
next COT as of 2026-08-11 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -60,825 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -14.5%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 136w)
w/w change +41,165
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-07)
vs DXY +0.69
vs S&P 500 -0.21
vs DXY beta +0.84 (26w)